tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4528393111359731672.post2653014465043282181..comments2024-03-24T00:19:53.054+00:00Comments on Green All Over: Polish Prediction EngineCassinihttp://www.blogger.com/profile/05879449876804295094noreply@blogger.comBlogger2125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4528393111359731672.post-58101616300279480652013-07-13T16:58:04.040+01:002013-07-13T16:58:04.040+01:00ELO were a shite bandELO were a shite bandAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4528393111359731672.post-53917359601642659762013-07-13T00:07:46.068+01:002013-07-13T00:07:46.068+01:00"I shall be adjusting my Elo ratings to accou..."I shall be adjusting my Elo ratings to account for the five success factors above."<br /><br />"Not before time!" is the cry doubtless issued from the hordes of your suffering subscribers.<br /><br />The article above is a bit incoherent and quite a lot is lost in translation I feel. However team motivation, weather and players are important factors and I expect they are using weightings too so why not give these guys a chance? <br /><br />This article does highlight the problems of Elo ratings in that in this day and age they do seem woefully simplistic. It feels a bit like going off to a track day in a Rover SD1 3500: While it may have been the mutt's nuts in the late 1970's it sadly won't be competitive today.<br /><br />The problem with these ratings systems is that unless you have the skills required to build a powerful model you are always going to lose out to those who can. In 2013 if you are not factoring in weather, team motivation, distance travelled, the WAGS and does the ref like a bit of bunga bunga, chances are you are behind the curve and conkers will be done.<br /><br />Cassini isn't it time you faced the truth and admitted Elo ratings are far too simplistic and stuck in a 1970's timewarp? Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01800039267651942286noreply@blogger.com