tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4528393111359731672.post3727716096832984868..comments2024-03-24T00:19:53.054+00:00Comments on Green All Over: Cat SkinningCassinihttp://www.blogger.com/profile/05879449876804295094noreply@blogger.comBlogger2125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4528393111359731672.post-23129259719444413182012-05-29T14:52:10.174+01:002012-05-29T14:52:10.174+01:00Hi Cassini,
This was something I looked into when...Hi Cassini,<br /><br />This was something I looked into when I was doing the review, primarily because as you say I noticed there was a fair bit of crossover with the FE bets and your XX bets and they are typically the same "type" of games.<br /><br />Unfortunately I think it was just a random case of the recommended bets happening to hit a lot of draws this season (34.3%). I wouldn't expect that long term.<br /><br />The shortlist bets this season only had 28 draws from 117 bets (23.9%) <br /><br />2010/11 season there were 22 draws from 97 bets (22.6%) for the recommended bets and 39 draws from 152 bets (25.6%) for the shortlist bets. <br /><br />2009/10 season before that it was 31 draws from 121 bets (25.6%) for the recommended bets and 50 draws from 129 bets for the shortlist (38.7%). <br /><br />2008/09 season the rec bets and shortlist bets were all together as one and the draw rate was around the 25% mark from memory.<br /><br />So I dont think there's much mileage in backing the draw blindly although there certainly could be an improvement with manual intervention. <br /><br />I think it is interesting that we both pretty much target the same kind of games but bet on different outcomes, yet both make a long term profit. Before the start of the season we will have to compare results and have a look at what happens when there is a crossover of FE bets and XX bets. Could be an interesting angle there. <br /><br />MattAnonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12981943556350033098noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4528393111359731672.post-285358835899629362012-05-29T09:47:02.919+01:002012-05-29T09:47:02.919+01:00Let's hope it will be another good year with t...Let's hope it will be another good year with the XX draws.<br />The 0-0 Half-time was my idea. It's not a big leap from unders to 0-0, to 0-0 HT, so maybe others have thought about that too. I also want to test that coming season with low stakes. I will use the classic XX draws and not the extended.<br />Greetings, MauriceMauricehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05065800984088210302noreply@blogger.com