tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4528393111359731672.post800421107550737885..comments2024-03-24T00:19:53.054+00:00Comments on Green All Over: Boston Trading PartyCassinihttp://www.blogger.com/profile/05879449876804295094noreply@blogger.comBlogger6125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4528393111359731672.post-88470247760274840602010-04-06T09:39:57.954+01:002010-04-06T09:39:57.954+01:00hi, brother Green.
Could you add me to your blogro...hi, brother Green.<br />Could you add me to your blogroll pls ?<br /><br />revallgreen.blogspot.com<br /><br />ThanxThe Rev. All Greenhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13597684892211607227noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4528393111359731672.post-4714671254132510362010-04-05T17:45:31.794+01:002010-04-05T17:45:31.794+01:00So a good day for trading is when there are big co...So a good day for trading is when there are big comebacks.<br /><br />Seems a little simple. Is 1.01 a blind lay?<br /><br />Is 1.02 also a price to lay blind?<br /><br />When do traders decide the comeback isn't on?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4528393111359731672.post-76800502812882018992010-04-05T12:54:57.718+01:002010-04-05T12:54:57.718+01:00No, I don't believe there are any other books ...No, I don't believe there are any other books by the authors but one of them has a lot of high quality material on the internet (Search Tango Tiger Baseball).<br /><br />Another has a very interesting website - extremely mathematical - based on his ratings systems (search Andrew Dolphin ratings).Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4528393111359731672.post-57080877039462810812010-04-05T12:51:27.463+01:002010-04-05T12:51:27.463+01:00No, I'm not the author - there are three autho...No, I'm not the author - there are three authors in fact, all leading analysts in their field. I make a point of reading as much literature as possible which I think may help in sports betting, whether it's to do with a sport I personally bet on or not. Even if I can take one point out of any book then it's worth the price.<br /><br />I tend to avoid US Sports betting due to the time difference and also the fact that the markets are extremely mature and efficient. I would suggest they are far more efficient than markets on non-US sports. There have been many more academic studies on US Sports than others and I believe general value will be minimal at best.<br /><br />That said, I don't doubt there are in running opportunities but I simply can't stay up all night every night to take advantage so choose to swerve it and concentrate on other sports.<br /><br />And, yes, I am the anon Cassini likes to believe is bitter, twisted and jealous. As a different anon posted recently, it's perhaps worth taking on board some of my points. I'm simply trying to point out errors / oversights he may make in his attempts to lead his readers to value.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4528393111359731672.post-41650359602126793952010-04-05T12:04:50.999+01:002010-04-05T12:04:50.999+01:00To Anon,
(1st Reply)
For knowing 'very little&...To Anon,<br />(1st Reply)<br />For knowing 'very little' about baseball, you seem to have learned a lot from "The Book" in so short a time from one sentence to the next.<br />Any other "books" from the same author on other sports?<br />Or are you 'The Author'?<br /><br />JSAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4528393111359731672.post-34226974076249554902010-04-05T10:48:52.534+01:002010-04-05T10:48:52.534+01:00I don't bet on baseball, don't watch it an...I don't bet on baseball, don't watch it and know very little about it.<br /><br />But I do know it's a sport which has a distinct "state" at any stage of any game. And from the innings number, outs and players on base it's easy to find a figure for what the win % would be based on historical data. (assuming the teams are evenly matched. I suppose you can tweak things from there to adjust for team strength).<br /><br />Cassini is correct. The 4 run advantage in the top of the 4th certainly doesn't seem to merit a 1.03 price - an average team away to an average team who were 5-1 up during the top of the 4th even with no men out and the bases loaded only win 93% of the time. <br /><br />If they are at the start of the top of the 4th, up 4 with no men out it's more like 86%.<br /><br />I recommend a book called "The Book" for quality analysis of baseball. I've taken those figures above from "The Book"Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com