Green All Over

Established in 2008, this blog is an independent, common sense, look at challenges and opportunities in sports and financial investing, with occasional diversions as my mood takes me. I am not a tipster, nor is this a Profit and Loss report either. They are boring.

Monday, 1 January 2001

It's Official

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To clarify what I mean when I say 'official' results, since there is unfortunately no recognised source for closing prices (or start...

Sharp And Soft Books

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From Nikolai Livori - Sportsbook Soft or Sharp The sports betting industry is fragmented into Sharp and Soft books, and of course a mix in b...

Bundeslayga System

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In September 2010 , I noticed that the strategy of laying certain Home Favourites in the German Bundesliga was consistently profitable, maki...

UMPO System

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UMPO is an acronym for  U nderdogs  M LB  P lay- O ff and is a simple strategy which backs odds-against underdogs in the Major League Baseba...

Maria's Laying System

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Maria's Laying System achieved some notoriety in 2005-2006 when its creator (Maria Santonix) increased a starting bank of £3,000 to six ...

Elo Ratings In Football

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Introduction Often incorrectly written as ELO, Elo ratings actually take their name from the inventor, Arpad Elo, a Hungarian-born America...

Kelly

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"By always making the Kelly bet, your bankroll will increase faster than with any system." In Kelly's analysis, the smart ga...

Spoofing / Head-Faking

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While the basic concept is easy to grasp and it sounds very easy to do, in fact trading has developed into quite a complex and tricky art, b...
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About Me

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Cassini
I have had a life-long interest in sports and after studying Pure Mathematics with Statistics at secondary school, have been fascinated by odds and probability. The first system I came up with was a simple one - back the favourite and double up after a loss until a winner. Simple enough in theory, and I told my Dad about it. Not being a betting man himself, he ran it by some of his colleagues, and came home to tell me that it wouldn’t work because a long losing run would mean that the bank would be empty. Then there was always the possibility that the winner would be returned at odds-on, meaning that the total returns would not match the outlay. Not what a ten year old wants to hear! Only slightly daunted, I then went on a search for the Holy Grail, the secret to riches that I knew was out there somewhere. Finally in 2004 I stumbled across an article about Betting Exchanges and four years later I was able to make a steady profit.
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