Green All Over

Established in 2008, this blog is an independent, common sense, look at challenges and opportunities in sports and financial investing, with occasional diversions as my mood takes me. I am not a tipster, nor is this a Profit and Loss report either. They are boring.

Sunday, 30 November 2008

Fooled By Randomness

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I am currently reading " Fooled By Randomness ", sub-titled " The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets " ...
7 comments:
Saturday, 29 November 2008

Spinning Value

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John the Gambler continues running with the value ball "...but the general way for in-running traders to perform is to nick a bit of ...
Thursday, 27 November 2008

The only VALUE you got was "NO VALUE"

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John the Gambler has quietly joined the debate on value (so quietly that I almost missed his contribution) but here is his contribution in f...
6 comments:
Wednesday, 26 November 2008

Bad Profit

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Brian Coplin has commented on a previous post that there is " No such thing as a bad profit. " Really? Now whilst I agree with t...
4 comments:
Tuesday, 25 November 2008

Value Discussion

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The previous post received some really good comments (thanks MOM, Graeme Dand and JPG) that are worthy of a follow-up post. Just to reiter...
3 comments:

My Correct Opinion Is Worthless

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I recently added Juice Storm to my list of blogs to follow, and a recent post was titled "3 Simple Rules of Winning Traders". The...
10 comments:
Sunday, 23 November 2008

Raffles, Bobo and Loopy

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Life on the Betfair forum is seldom boring. Friday afternoon saw the return of an infamous poster (we shall call him Raffles), a man who has...
Saturday, 22 November 2008

Next Manager Markets

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With the news that Crystal Palace's 1990 hero Alan Pardew has left Charlton 'by mutual consent', (Thank You Agent Pardew - Missi...

Big Four Nil

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This isn't a quiz question because I don't know the answer, but when was the last time that Arsenal, Chelsea, Liverpool and Manchest...

Aston Villa - Manchester United

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My football ratings for this afternoon's Setanta game have priced Aston Villa at 3.05, and Manchester United at 2.48. Available on BETDA...
Thursday, 20 November 2008

What Price Integrity?

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The ramifications from the farcial ending to Sunday's Chargers - Steelers handicap bet go on. (The result was 11-10, although at one t...
15 comments:
Wednesday, 19 November 2008

Handicap Markets v Match Odds

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I'm not a big fan of handicap betting. For my reasons why, I don't think I can say it better than respected commenter JPG and his po...
Monday, 17 November 2008

Steelers-Chargers Handicap Drama

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The Pittsburgh Steelers may have beaten the San Diego Chargers last night, but the drama was on the handicap market. The Steelers were givin...
Sunday, 16 November 2008

Football Value

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Hull City v Manchester City about to start, and a big discrepancy in the odds I have calculated for Hull - I have them at 2.45, but they ar...
6 comments:
Tuesday, 11 November 2008

Armistice Day

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I always think of my paternal grandfather on Armistice Day. Lying about his age, he signed up at the age 16, lost an eye and a knee a year l...
1 comment:
Sunday, 9 November 2008

Rugby League World Cup Excitement - Not

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Am I the only one who feels that the Rugby League World Cup is a complete waste of time? Australia, England and New Zealand are all in the...
4 comments:

College Football Overtime RULES

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Every once in a while, an opportunity presents itself that looks too good to be true. Tonight was one such occasion. The big SEC clash bet...
8 comments:
Saturday, 8 November 2008

Are Odds Really That Significant?

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The question above was posted on the Betfair forum by 'deeper in debt', and is perhaps not (quite) as daft a question as it first ap...
1 comment:
Friday, 7 November 2008

November Ramblings

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October was my first losing month on Betfair since April 2007, albeit only £70.13, but the profits on BETDAQ saw my trading overall in profi...
4 comments:
Sunday, 2 November 2008

Free Betting Systems

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Update 2011: Following a system crash, I no longer have these systems. If anyone is interested in any of the above systems - shoot me a...
60 comments:
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About Me

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Cassini
I have had a life-long interest in sports and after studying Pure Mathematics with Statistics at secondary school, have been fascinated by odds and probability. The first system I came up with was a simple one - back the favourite and double up after a loss until a winner. Simple enough in theory, and I told my Dad about it. Not being a betting man himself, he ran it by some of his colleagues, and came home to tell me that it wouldn’t work because a long losing run would mean that the bank would be empty. Then there was always the possibility that the winner would be returned at odds-on, meaning that the total returns would not match the outlay. Not what a ten year old wants to hear! Only slightly daunted, I then went on a search for the Holy Grail, the secret to riches that I knew was out there somewhere. Finally in 2004 I stumbled across an article about Betting Exchanges and four years later I was able to make a steady profit.
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