Green All Over

Established in 2008, this blog is an independent, common sense, look at challenges and opportunities in sports and financial investing, with occasional diversions as my mood takes me. I am not a tipster, nor is this a Profit and Loss report either. They are boring.

Tuesday, 28 April 2009

Winning System - Patience Required

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One of the more curious incidents of my Betfair life occurred within a month of my opening the account, which is why I failed to take max...
4 comments:

Five Years

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I was planning on writing a post to mark the fifth anniversary of opening an account with Betfair later this week, but I have just discove...
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Monday, 27 April 2009

Conference Thoughts

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Torquay United made my day yesterday with a win over Burton Albion, but there were some strange results elsewhere in the Conference, inclu...
Sunday, 26 April 2009

Final Day Countdown

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And now for something completely different. This afternoon’s Conference National fixtures. The only game in-play is the Torquay United v B...

Exclusive Follow-Up

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Just a quick post to follow up on last week’s “Exclusive” on Betactual, and their results are going from bad to worse. As I reported last ...
Friday, 24 April 2009

Burton Stumbling

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Over the last few years, my interest in non-league football has increased significantly. Back in my day, there was very little coverage, but...
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Monday, 20 April 2009

Tipping Service Exposed - Exclusive!

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On March 28th, Trade On Sports highlighted a football tipping website, and their supposed results up to that date did look quite impressi...
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Thursday, 16 April 2009

NBA Play-Offs

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Back in October last year, I wrote a post about the 2008-09 NBA season and made some predictions. The regular season has now finished, so ...
1 comment:
Wednesday, 15 April 2009

Sgt. Pepper Taught The Band To Play

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Twenty years ago today, I headed off to Selhurst Park, hoping to see Crystal Palace pick up an important three points in their match again...
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Monday, 13 April 2009

April Fool

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Easter Sunday was one of those days. Perhaps I should start going to church? A big loss (biggest since May 19th 2008) on the first NBA g...
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Friday, 10 April 2009

Betting Scandal

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Apologies for the lack of recent posts, but it is the Easter holidays and I'm spending a few days with my son and not focusing too muc...
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Sunday, 5 April 2009

Not Going For A Burton

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A thin football schedule tomorrow may not mean an abundance of choices, but does give the opportunity to look at the games in detail. B...
Saturday, 4 April 2009

(Very) High Risk, Low Reward

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100-1 outsider Mon Mome wins the 2009 Grand National, trading at the maximum of 1000 on Betfair during the race. Easy to say after the fac...
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Baseball By The Numbers

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Still on the subject of statistics, but this time I’m switching to baseball, a sport that (along with cricket), is ideal for statistics. T...
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Lies, Damn Lies

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I wrote a few days ago about how statistics differ between different web sites on football matches. Apparently it is subjective whether or...
Wednesday, 1 April 2009

Excel-ling At Tennis

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I have been asked by a student if I, or anyone I know, would be interested in buying a ‘tennis valuation tool’ (not a system) which is an ...
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Tuesday, 31 March 2009

Fair Enough

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The long-awaited report into in-running betting has been published by the Gambling Commission. Although I wasn’t expecting any dramatic ch...
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Monday, 30 March 2009

Mea Culpa

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A rather disappointing weekend, all things considered. No decent football this weekend with internationals going on. FC Dallas were defeat...
Saturday, 28 March 2009

Away We Go

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A dozen aways today, all from the lower divisions because that's all there is to choose from today! My picks are Tranmere Rovers ...
Friday, 27 March 2009

FC Dallas

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Many thanks to Curly and Strugar for their suggestions on where I might find stats on corner kicks. I am now more confused than ever becau...
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About Me

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Cassini
I have had a life-long interest in sports and after studying Pure Mathematics with Statistics at secondary school, have been fascinated by odds and probability. The first system I came up with was a simple one - back the favourite and double up after a loss until a winner. Simple enough in theory, and I told my Dad about it. Not being a betting man himself, he ran it by some of his colleagues, and came home to tell me that it wouldn’t work because a long losing run would mean that the bank would be empty. Then there was always the possibility that the winner would be returned at odds-on, meaning that the total returns would not match the outlay. Not what a ten year old wants to hear! Only slightly daunted, I then went on a search for the Holy Grail, the secret to riches that I knew was out there somewhere. Finally in 2004 I stumbled across an article about Betting Exchanges and four years later I was able to make a steady profit.
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