Green All Over

Established in 2008, this blog is an independent, common sense, look at challenges and opportunities in sports and financial investing, with occasional diversions as my mood takes me. I am not a tipster, nor is this a Profit and Loss report either. They are boring.

Sunday, 30 August 2009

Nerdy Anorak Elo Stuff

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The football Elo ratings are starting to settle down. I have three numbers that I am using. The Elo rating, the current form rating, and th...
1 comment:
Saturday, 29 August 2009

Headache

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Well, what a headache I have! I came back from Italy on Saturday evening from Monza where, as you can see from the picture of me on my warm...
2 comments:
Friday, 28 August 2009

Benitez Fired! You Bet

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From that trustworthy source of news, the Sun, there was this story: Rafa Benitez and Franck Ribery have been dragged innocently into a b...
2 comments:
Wednesday, 26 August 2009

Swop Confidentialities

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A week ago, I posted an article from the Wall Street Journal on baseball betting. Baseball is a game where the top teams rarely win more th...
5 comments:

Chocolate Teapot

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Rather mysteriously, the unanimously negative-in-tone threads relating to Adam Heathcote’s aforementioned New Exchange Secrets venture were...
6 comments:
Sunday, 23 August 2009

Betfair Flotation Talks

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Betfair ponders £1.5bn flotation after shareholders call in bankers for talks Betfair could be in line for a £1.5bn flotation after share...
1 comment:

Kansas City Chiefs, Royals And Wizards

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In the whole scheme of things, it's a very small thing, but when bloggers or posters on the forum call Kansas City teams simply 'Ka...
Saturday, 22 August 2009

Creatures Of Habit

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Nothing to do with investing, but I found this story which amused me: If you've always wondered where your cat goes when he disappear...
1 comment:

And Smith Must Score!

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I occasionally have a pre-game punt on football, and let it go in-running until I can lay it off at a fair price. What a difference this ma...
Friday, 21 August 2009

Compounding

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Continuing with the theme from yesterday of the overlap between Stock Exchange investing and Betting Exchange investing, the importance of ...
Wednesday, 19 August 2009

Wall Street Baseball

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Sports investing isn't the only kind of investing I am interested in. I follow the stock market as well, although the level of my inter...
2 comments:
Tuesday, 18 August 2009

Taxi Driver Syndrome

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The relationship between psychology and investing (gambling) is a fascinating subject and an interesting post on the Betfair forum today (f...
Monday, 17 August 2009

Sticks And Stones

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Well, my piece on Saturday night certainly attracted some attention. The gist of the post was that I had some concerns about a new 'adv...
4 comments:
Sunday, 16 August 2009

The Ghost (Goals) Of Seasons Past

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Less than a year ago, officials in a Championship made one of the worst decisions in the history of football. I wrote this piece following ...
2 comments:

Looooong Sales Pitch

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Ever since finding Adam Heathcote's blog, I have harboured serious doubts about the veracity of his postings. The saying " if some...
18 comments:
Saturday, 15 August 2009

Premier League Opening Day

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As probably everyone reading this knows, the Premier League season returns today. When I was a kid, the off-season lasted for ever. Now it ...
1 comment:
Thursday, 13 August 2009

Games, Sports, Wastes Of Time

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So golf is being reinstated as an Olympic game. The top 15 players in the world will automatically qualify with a starting field of 60. So ...
1 comment:
Wednesday, 12 August 2009

Thinking Inside The Box(-Score)

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Not surprisingly, there is no Holy Grail to finding value in football. Just a lot of hard work. Last season, I relied mostly on my CRAP sy...
1 comment:
Tuesday, 11 August 2009

Lays 11.8.09

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I won’t be investing on any cup games tonight, but the Conference National has a few fixtures worth a look. Leaving alone the games involvin...
Monday, 10 August 2009

Betfair Q & A

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Betfair hosted a Q and A earlier today, and there were some interesting exchanges concerning the Premium Charge. The 60 weeks in profit qua...
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About Me

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Cassini
I have had a life-long interest in sports and after studying Pure Mathematics with Statistics at secondary school, have been fascinated by odds and probability. The first system I came up with was a simple one - back the favourite and double up after a loss until a winner. Simple enough in theory, and I told my Dad about it. Not being a betting man himself, he ran it by some of his colleagues, and came home to tell me that it wouldn’t work because a long losing run would mean that the bank would be empty. Then there was always the possibility that the winner would be returned at odds-on, meaning that the total returns would not match the outlay. Not what a ten year old wants to hear! Only slightly daunted, I then went on a search for the Holy Grail, the secret to riches that I knew was out there somewhere. Finally in 2004 I stumbled across an article about Betting Exchanges and four years later I was able to make a steady profit.
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