Green All Over

Established in 2008, this blog is an independent, common sense, look at challenges and opportunities in sports and financial investing, with occasional diversions as my mood takes me. I am not a tipster, nor is this a Profit and Loss report either. They are boring.

Tuesday, 16 March 2010

Each To Their Own

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It would appear that my reference to Marks and Spencer shares yesterday was misunderstood by at least one person. M&S wasn’t supposed t...
11 comments:
Monday, 15 March 2010

Value(d) Opinions

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Another bulging mailbag today, with some differing opinions on a few topics. A good thing. It would be a boring world if we all thought th...
11 comments:
Sunday, 14 March 2010

Value - Or The Greater Fool Theory?

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" Finding value in a gambling market and investing are not at all similar in any respect " was the well argued comment by (of c...
9 comments:
Saturday, 13 March 2010

Lorient, L'Orient and L. Orient - Vive La Difference

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A quieter day than usual with football investments limited to those recommended by Football Elite. Borussia Moenchengladbach at 2.86 wasn...
5 comments:

Betting On Hollywood

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Cantor Bets on Hollywood, and Sports Gamblers Bet on Techniques By Michael Kaplan When Cantor Fitzgerald's Cantor Futures Exchange o...
Thursday, 11 March 2010

Buffett Lessons

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It makes for depressing reading, but I couldn’t stop myself checking out the latest rankings this morning. Not my important and interesting...
2 comments:

Premium Charge Avoidance

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Not too much action today, although the Burnley v Stoke City game finished a draw and as I've mentioned before, games between teams in ...
6 comments:
Wednesday, 10 March 2010

Flash Volatility

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The flash drive is (literally) on the road to recovery, I hope, but it'll be a few days before I have the spreadsheet back and the data...
4 comments:
Tuesday, 9 March 2010

Believe In God? 5000-1 If You Can Prove It

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As I struggle with modern technology, and my stupid flash drive, in need of a smile I found this at The Spoof Sunday, 7 March 2010 Bookm...
Monday, 8 March 2010

Not So Flash Drive

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The Elo predictions have come to a grinding halt, due to a malfunctioning flash drive and the (I hope) temporary loss of many spreadsheets ...
7 comments:
Sunday, 7 March 2010

And The Award Goes To

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Between 2006 and 2009, the Academy Awards have added a net total of £169 to the Cassini coffers. However, there have been some wild diffe...
1 comment:

Sunday Morning Coming Down

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The following are the teams expected to have a two goal supremacy in today's matches. Everton (1.42) v Hull City; Malaga (1.67) v Xerex;...
Saturday, 6 March 2010

Vive La France

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Quite a day in the world of football investing, and a tough ending to the Lens v Paris St Germain game in France. I had this game as a draw...
2 comments:

Elo Predictions: 6.March.10

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There are a few teams playing today that look to represent excellent value in comparison to their predicted win margin. A little more resear...

Dogs Of The Dow

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An article on the Yahoo Finance page today gives a good example of an investment “system” that worked, by some measure, for a while, but wh...
1 comment:
Friday, 5 March 2010

Meanwhile, Back At The Ranch

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After a good, and mostly healthy and good natured, debate on whether ‘value’ can exist at any price, I think the verdict is that it can, bu...

Hypocrite

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- a person who acts in contradiction to his or her stated beliefs or feelings. I shouldn’t, I really shouldn’t, but as I tell my parole ...
8 comments:
Thursday, 4 March 2010

Value Opinion - At Any Odds

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Greg said... Anyone who doesn't bet odds-on is wrong? That goes against the strategy of virtually every long term profitable football...
10 comments:
Wednesday, 3 March 2010

Show Me The Way

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I have had some comments or questions regarding how the Elo predictions can be used to make profits. The saying “ you can lead a whore to...
7 comments:

AU - Get Off Of My Cloud

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I like getting comments. It makes it easy to find something to post the next day. A couple more hit the blog in the last couple of days. ...
3 comments:
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About Me

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Cassini
I have had a life-long interest in sports and after studying Pure Mathematics with Statistics at secondary school, have been fascinated by odds and probability. The first system I came up with was a simple one - back the favourite and double up after a loss until a winner. Simple enough in theory, and I told my Dad about it. Not being a betting man himself, he ran it by some of his colleagues, and came home to tell me that it wouldn’t work because a long losing run would mean that the bank would be empty. Then there was always the possibility that the winner would be returned at odds-on, meaning that the total returns would not match the outlay. Not what a ten year old wants to hear! Only slightly daunted, I then went on a search for the Holy Grail, the secret to riches that I knew was out there somewhere. Finally in 2004 I stumbled across an article about Betting Exchanges and four years later I was able to make a steady profit.
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