Green All Over

Established in 2008, this blog is an independent, common sense, look at challenges and opportunities in sports and financial investing, with occasional diversions as my mood takes me. I am not a tipster, nor is this a Profit and Loss report either. They are boring.

Saturday, 9 October 2010

New York Times

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Online Betting Venue Betfair to IPO Punters: We’re Worth $2.4B By RILEY MCDERMID of VentureBeat The world’s largest online betting excha...
1 comment:
Friday, 8 October 2010

However You Spin It

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I usually ignore any Arcade or Exchange Game promotions, but Talkbet (again) wrote the other day that Betfair also very kindly gave me £5...
1 comment:

Numbers And Unders

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The SBP needs to look behind the numbers, rather than just AT them: He wrote yesterday " Tough loss for us last night. Twins jumped ou...
1 comment:

Autumn Gold

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The Minneosta Twins have taken the lead in their last eight play-off games versus the New York Yankees, and lost them all. Tonight they tra...
2 comments:
Thursday, 7 October 2010

Hole-In-One Gang And More

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I was reading Derek McGovern's 1999 book" On Sports Betting...And How To Make It Pay " last night, and it took me on a trip d...
1 comment:
Wednesday, 6 October 2010

On Deck

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The play-offs begin today in the baseball and with some early start times and nothing in the way of football as an alternative, here's ...
2 comments:
Tuesday, 5 October 2010

Bundeslayga

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Anonymous writes: Well done on an interesting blog. In relation to your findings on the laying odds on in the Bundesliga, you said last s...
3 comments:
Monday, 4 October 2010

Ratings v Positions

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One of the strengths or weaknesses of Elo ratings is that they adjust slowly. This is a strength in that when a Barcelona loses at home to ...
1 comment:
Sunday, 3 October 2010

Barcelayna

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Lecce defeated Catania today, so no joy there for the "strong draw" system, but a lay of Barcelona, far too short at 1.19, more t...

Money And Happiness

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Most readers of this blog are probably looking to make a little more money to supplement their regular income, and might be interested to r...
1 comment:
Saturday, 2 October 2010

Game 162

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There's Game 7s, and there are game 162s. The San Francisco Giants and San Diego Padres are now separated by just one game and the Padr...
1 comment:

Penultimate Day

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After a losing September, October is off to a good start with some baseball profits overnight. At this time of year, there's value in l...

Reds In October Hunt

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The regular baseball season comes to a close this weekend with the play-off teams all but decided across the leagues. In the American Leagu...
1 comment:
Wednesday, 29 September 2010

Turkish Delight

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Anonymous argues that No, the market doesn't need to know your selections. If the price on a certain outcome is consistently incorrec...
1 comment:

Drawing Hope

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The draw debate continues, although it is spilling over into a broader criticism of Peter Nordsted’s book Premier Football Betting Handbook...
3 comments:
Tuesday, 28 September 2010

Drawing Fire

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As I mentioned on Saturday, quite independently, both Peter Nordsted and myself have arrived at a similar system based on backing the draw....
3 comments:
Monday, 27 September 2010

Defensive Indifference

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Very little trading this weekend due to social commitments. The draw hunting system again proved profitable in England with Fulham and Ev...
1 comment:
Saturday, 25 September 2010

Drawing Encouragement

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A busy football weekend got off to a good start with a draw between Koln and Hoffenheim backed at 3.5. The Elo ratings are particularly goo...
9 comments:
Friday, 24 September 2010

Scientific Bullshit

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Great news! From the SBP today - Guess what? I'm an author now! That's right, I've got a brand new book being released on A...
Thursday, 23 September 2010

Betfair's Future

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Some interesting comments in this article from the London Standard including comments about rival exchanges, and Betfair's future : Fir...
2 comments:
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About Me

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Cassini
I have had a life-long interest in sports and after studying Pure Mathematics with Statistics at secondary school, have been fascinated by odds and probability. The first system I came up with was a simple one - back the favourite and double up after a loss until a winner. Simple enough in theory, and I told my Dad about it. Not being a betting man himself, he ran it by some of his colleagues, and came home to tell me that it wouldn’t work because a long losing run would mean that the bank would be empty. Then there was always the possibility that the winner would be returned at odds-on, meaning that the total returns would not match the outlay. Not what a ten year old wants to hear! Only slightly daunted, I then went on a search for the Holy Grail, the secret to riches that I knew was out there somewhere. Finally in 2004 I stumbled across an article about Betting Exchanges and four years later I was able to make a steady profit.
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