Green All Over

Established in 2008, this blog is an independent, common sense, look at challenges and opportunities in sports and financial investing, with occasional diversions as my mood takes me. I am not a tipster, nor is this a Profit and Loss report either. They are boring.

Sunday, 9 January 2011

Understanding Odds

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Rich had a comment on my "For Entertainment Purposes Only" post. Discussing "value" as related to the probability of...
1 comment:

Serie A / La Liga

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Serie A and La Liga action today, and the single strong draw pick is Chievo Verona v Palermo. Three weaker draws are Osasuna v Getafe, Samp...

Betting: For Entertainment Purposes Only

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A refreshing response to my comment on the Expat Punter's post from earlier. I was hoping that it wouldn't be taken the wrong way, ...
1 comment:
Saturday, 8 January 2011

Saints Go Marching Out

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With no Premier League games today, I assumed that there would be no selections for Peter Nordsted's Drawmaster system, but I was wrong...
1 comment:

d'Alambert

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I didn't know until today that Stevenage Borough are now just Stevenage. A bit unfortunate when your nickname is "The Boro". ...

Bank Edging Up

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The latest post from The Expat Punter is titled Finding An Edge , and he writes: The edge is that thing that you must possess that gives...
2 comments:
Friday, 7 January 2011

Wildcard

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A couple of winners yesterday, with AC Milan winning at 2.22 and Roma - Catania going Over 2.5 goals before half-time. I like those quick w...
1 comment:
Thursday, 6 January 2011

Trading Fingerprint

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A mixed bag on the picks tonight. 1 for 1 on the Over 2.5 goals bets for a net profit and a help to the PC, but Bolton Wanderers gave up a ...
Wednesday, 5 January 2011

It's Back

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As I'd suspected it would, the latest update from the Betfair Premium Portal confirmed that I will be paying over £400 in Premium Charg...
1 comment:
Tuesday, 4 January 2011

Poldhu

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Three EPL games tonight and the ratings suggest three home wins, but Fulham at 2.28 v West Bromwich Albion doesn't look great value con...
Sunday, 2 January 2011

Big Home Dogs

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The Atlanta Hawks duly covered the -1.5 spread this afternoon against the Los Angeles Clippers and as midnight approaches, that'll be t...
1 comment:

The Accidental Winner

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I'm not very good at this PC reduction thing. Last night I placed a bet on the New Orleans Hornets giving 1.5, and another on the Washi...
Saturday, 1 January 2011

Gold All Over

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No joy for the strong draw today, with Stoke City defeating Everton, but winners in the other two recommendations with West Ham United winn...

Top / Bottom 2010

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Just for the heck of it, at the end of 2010, the following are the top and bottom three teams in each League that I track. Not too many sur...

Hello 2011

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A new year, but hopefully the new one will continue as the old one ended. December was my third best month ever, behind only the Januarys o...
Friday, 31 December 2010

Ace Puzzle

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Courtesy of " Betting The Odds - The Hidden Mathematics Of Sport " by Rob Eastway and John Haigh, comes this little puzzle - a do...
3 comments:

Gambling: Then And Now

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Courtesy of USA based Forbes, here's a well-written commentary on the legalisation of Internet gambling , looking back on the history o...

Fink Tank

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Looking ahead to this weekend's Premier League games, the value bets appear to be West Ham United at 2.1 v Wolverhampton Wanderers with...
Wednesday, 29 December 2010

Playing The 0-0

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A nice win tipped up here for the Minnesota Vikings at Philadelphia Eagles last night which puts the Premium Charge ever closer. I checked ...

Sunshine In December

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Many thanks to Ben who patiently and clearly explained how backing at close to value can indeed reduce the Premium Charge for someone who i...
1 comment:
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About Me

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Cassini
I have had a life-long interest in sports and after studying Pure Mathematics with Statistics at secondary school, have been fascinated by odds and probability. The first system I came up with was a simple one - back the favourite and double up after a loss until a winner. Simple enough in theory, and I told my Dad about it. Not being a betting man himself, he ran it by some of his colleagues, and came home to tell me that it wouldn’t work because a long losing run would mean that the bank would be empty. Then there was always the possibility that the winner would be returned at odds-on, meaning that the total returns would not match the outlay. Not what a ten year old wants to hear! Only slightly daunted, I then went on a search for the Holy Grail, the secret to riches that I knew was out there somewhere. Finally in 2004 I stumbled across an article about Betting Exchanges and four years later I was able to make a steady profit.
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