Green All Over

Established in 2008, this blog is an independent, common sense, look at challenges and opportunities in sports and financial investing, with occasional diversions as my mood takes me. I am not a tipster, nor is this a Profit and Loss report either. They are boring.

Friday, 2 March 2018

Major Losses

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A rare visit to the Betfair Forum led me to a YouTube video featuring a TEDx talk from a former problem gambler. After leaving the Army, th...

1 comment:

Thursday, 1 March 2018

The Rule of 40%

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There was an embarrassing error in the Wall Street Journal’s article on pundits and the strategy of the 40% probability claim. The full a...

Tuesday, 27 February 2018

The Unimaginative Fool

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A year ago, I wrote about Warren Buffett's annual letter to shareholders of Berkshire Hathaway, and as tends to be the case with annual...

Friday, 16 February 2018

NBA Systems Half-Time Report

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With the NBA idle this weekend for their All-Star weekend, it's a good time to look at how the current season is playing out. Some of...

4 comments:

Friday, 9 February 2018

Correction

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Another disappointing day in the markets yesterday, as the markets move into 'correction' territory, my draw-down moves into six fi...

Wednesday, 7 February 2018

Fear Index

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A little under a year ago, I wrote about the Vix trader nicknamed '50 cents' who was obsessively buying call options priced 50 cent...

Sunday, 4 February 2018

BP3 And PC3

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I'm back from another (almost) two weeks of travel, which included just the one speeding ticket, and a few tweets caught my eye while ...

Monday, 22 January 2018

Crisco Cops

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A profitable NFL Championship round yesterday, with only the New England Patriots failing to cover the spread v the Jacksonville Jaguars a l...

Sunday, 21 January 2018

Championship Weekend and More on the Draw

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The Home team and Overs is the trendy play in the NFL Championship round. From the 2001 season, Home teams are 17-15 ATS (against the spread...

Thursday, 18 January 2018

Beloved Draws and Wives

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Prompted by Richard's above reply, I did look at the 0:0 and indeed the number of goals scored in matches sorted by the differ...

Wednesday, 17 January 2018

More Draw, Tense Situation

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My post on the English Premier League Draw last week proved to be one of the most popular articles ever with esteemed writers David Sumpter...

1 comment:

Tuesday, 16 January 2018

NFL - Fly Bird Teams Fly

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The NFL Division Round this past weekend wasn't the most successful for followers of the road teams. In the first game of the weekend...

Saturday, 13 January 2018

Probability, Difference And The EPL Draw

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The Draw result in football has been a mild obsession of mine for several years. I’m not sure when I first stumbled upon the idea that ...

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About Me

Cassini: I have had a life-long interest in sports and after studying Pure Mathematics with Statistics at secondary school, have been fascinated by odds and probability. The first system I came up with was a simple one - back the favourite and double up after a loss until a winner. Simple enough in theory, and I told my Dad about it. Not being a betting man himself, he ran it by some of his colleagues, and came home to tell me that it wouldn’t work because a long losing run would mean that the bank would be empty. Then there was always the possibility that the winner would be returned at odds-on, meaning that the total returns would not match the outlay. Not what a ten year old wants to hear! Only slightly daunted, I then went on a search for the Holy Grail, the secret to riches that I knew was out there somewhere. Finally in 2004 I stumbled across an article about Betting Exchanges and four years later I was able to make a steady profit.

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