Green All Over

Established in 2008, this blog is an independent, common sense, look at challenges and opportunities in sports and financial investing, with occasional diversions as my mood takes me. I am not a tipster, nor is this a Profit and Loss report either. They are boring.

Saturday, 9 February 2019

25/25

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It's been a while since we looked at the Draw in the Premier League, in part because there haven't been that many this season. With ...
Monday, 4 February 2019

Bayes Laughs, Others Miss The Joke

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It was't the most exciting end to the 2018 NFL season with the lowest scoring Super Bowl ever, but from an investment perspective, it wa...
Thursday, 31 January 2019

Undesirable Behaviour

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In my last post, I mentioned a comment made by spanky, whose bio on Twitter describes him as a Professional Sports Bettor. Some of you follo...
Saturday, 26 January 2019

The Super Bowl Trap

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According to the NFL Players Association, the average career length is about 3.3 years, which makes it all the more remarkable that of the 1...
Sunday, 13 January 2019

NFL Divisional Round 2018

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The New England Patriots are unique among NFL teams in that when it comes to the playoffs, there's a relative abundance of data to look ...
Wednesday, 9 January 2019

Streaking On Ice

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While the NFL playoffs are the most high profile thing going on in January for the sports I follow, the NHL and NBA continue on a daily basi...
Tuesday, 8 January 2019

American Football Pro Am

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The NFL Wild Card Weekend "W" strategy ( U nders and U nderdogs) was again profitable this past weekend: Small Road 'Dogs (...
Sunday, 6 January 2019

NFL Wild Card Weekend 2018 Season

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This weekend's Wild Card and next week's Divisional rounds are my favourite of the NFL season. Two elimination games a day, and wi...
Saturday, 5 January 2019

Law Of Anomalous Numbers

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Life is full of coincidences. Yesterday I wrote a post and extolled the virtues of a certain Leighton Vaughan Williams, while almost ten yea...
Friday, 4 January 2019

An Acceptable Reward

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There's nothing like a healthy debate to get the hit count climbing. The topic is the impact to the general public of the presence in ...
Wednesday, 2 January 2019

Your Logical Fallacy Is Anecdotal

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As I mentioned previously, I found myself dragged into a debate on the topic of whether it is possible to win long-term on UK horse-racing g...
1 comment:

Lennon, Marmite and Heathcote

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These new years come around fast as you get older. 2019 is the twelfth year of this blog, and although my posts were down in number last yea...
2 comments:
Saturday, 8 December 2018

NCAAF 2018 Small Road Dogs Summary

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While there is one College Football game this weekend which technically qualifies for the Small Road 'Dogs System, it's the College ...
1 comment:
Sunday, 25 November 2018

Ignore The Rest, Sometimes

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The importance of rest is well known in sports, and is more important in some sports than others. In baseball, the starting pitcher typicall...
Friday, 23 November 2018

Knowledge

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Some of you may have caught a discussion on Twitter yesterday regarding the use of statistics in betting, specifically in football and hor...
3 comments:
Thursday, 22 November 2018

Overs Keeps Giving - Thanks

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With 250 games in the record books, i.e. 20% of the regular season, it's a good time to look at how the NBA Overs System is faring in th...
Monday, 19 November 2018

The Big 6 Premium Charge, Pinny Style

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I postulated yesterday that when a Big 6 team are playing , Pinnacle know there will be a lot of interest, and have started to increase the ...
Sunday, 18 November 2018

Pinnacle's Big Seven

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In my recent post on the EPL Draw , I mentioned the troubling trend whereby Pinnacle's over-round this season has crept up from last sea...

Unofficial Sixteen

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Pleasing to know that at least one reader made some money yesterday on the College Football selections.  Not all of the 16 selections may...

EPL - 18 Years Of The Draw

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I mentioned in a recent post that I would have more on the English Premier League (EPL) Draw, and as a man of my word, here it is. Thanks ...
2 comments:
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About Me

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Cassini
I have had a life-long interest in sports and after studying Pure Mathematics with Statistics at secondary school, have been fascinated by odds and probability. The first system I came up with was a simple one - back the favourite and double up after a loss until a winner. Simple enough in theory, and I told my Dad about it. Not being a betting man himself, he ran it by some of his colleagues, and came home to tell me that it wouldn’t work because a long losing run would mean that the bank would be empty. Then there was always the possibility that the winner would be returned at odds-on, meaning that the total returns would not match the outlay. Not what a ten year old wants to hear! Only slightly daunted, I then went on a search for the Holy Grail, the secret to riches that I knew was out there somewhere. Finally in 2004 I stumbled across an article about Betting Exchanges and four years later I was able to make a steady profit.
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