Green All Over

Established in 2008, this blog is an independent, common sense, look at challenges and opportunities in sports and financial investing, with occasional diversions as my mood takes me. I am not a tipster, nor is this a Profit and Loss report either. They are boring.

Thursday, 30 May 2019

Rationale Thinking

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Most of my systems have sound logical reasoning behind them, including the Totals system mentioned yesterday for Major League Baseball.  T...
Wednesday, 29 May 2019

MLB Totals Simplified

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The @PinnacleSports Twitter account highlighted a 2016 article on totals betting in Baseball, with the following quote highlighted: ...
2 comments:
Sunday, 19 May 2019

Cassini's Law

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There's a law known as "Cassini's Law", which states that the moment you start talking about a long winning sequence, alon...
1 comment:
Friday, 17 May 2019

Repetition Compulsion

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A thread appeared on my Twitter timeline on the topic of whether someone can be so bad at betting that money can be made by fading (opposing...
Monday, 13 May 2019

Shameless

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While many of us are used to some rather strange, and often unpleasant, content from the Daily Mail, the below Tweet from their North-West f...
Sunday, 12 May 2019

EPL 2018-19 Records

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With 36 goals in the final round, the record for goals scored in the Premier league was broken with an average per game of 2.821, mostly due...
Tuesday, 7 May 2019

End of Season Goals

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With just one round to go in the English Premier League, only a somewhat improbable clean sweep of ten draws next Sunday will prevent this ...
1 comment:
Saturday, 4 May 2019

Treasure For Sale

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The infamous Gadoon Kyrallos, aka Spanky tweeted: I have a copy of that book, and actually re-read it after reading Spanky's recommen...
Friday, 3 May 2019

Draw Collusion

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When a draw suits both teams in Italy, the game will end in a draw. It's all to do with the mentality of the Italian people. They see n...
Tuesday, 23 April 2019

103%, NHL and NBA Playoffs

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Another couple of Draws in the last two nights, including one (Chelsea v Burnley) rather unlikely one priced at 6.46, the second highest pri...
Monday, 22 April 2019

Pinnacle 3 Football Data 2

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For the first time since Groundhog Day , there were two Draws in the English Premier League on the same day this weekend, so the Draws p...
Friday, 19 April 2019

Shorter Odds, Greater Margin

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Last night's Los Angles Clippers v Golden State Warriors official total of 236.5 points was the highest in database history, which goe...

Back in the Spring of '69

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1966-67 A rare personal post today, since it is 50 years to the day since Crystal Palace clinched promotion to the top division, then ca...
Sunday, 14 April 2019

La Liga, X-Weighted

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Yet another English Premier League day with no Draws, and the percentage falls still further to 17.37%, the lowest in 114 years. Manchester ...
1 comment:
Saturday, 13 April 2019

The EPL Draw Picture

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It's becoming a familiar story - another weekend, at least so far, with no Draws in the English Premier League, and the dry run since Ma...

The Importance of Assuming Positive Intent

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The NBA Playoffs start this evening, and there are some strong trends on the Totals in the first round that I'll again be following this...
1 comment:
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About Me

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Cassini
I have had a life-long interest in sports and after studying Pure Mathematics with Statistics at secondary school, have been fascinated by odds and probability. The first system I came up with was a simple one - back the favourite and double up after a loss until a winner. Simple enough in theory, and I told my Dad about it. Not being a betting man himself, he ran it by some of his colleagues, and came home to tell me that it wouldn’t work because a long losing run would mean that the bank would be empty. Then there was always the possibility that the winner would be returned at odds-on, meaning that the total returns would not match the outlay. Not what a ten year old wants to hear! Only slightly daunted, I then went on a search for the Holy Grail, the secret to riches that I knew was out there somewhere. Finally in 2004 I stumbled across an article about Betting Exchanges and four years later I was able to make a steady profit.
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