Green All Over

Established in 2008, this blog is an independent, common sense, look at challenges and opportunities in sports and financial investing, with occasional diversions as my mood takes me. I am not a tipster, nor is this a Profit and Loss report either. They are boring.

Sunday, 30 June 2019

London High

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The MLB data covers 16 seasons (including the current one), which is 38,171 games, and never has there been a Total higher than 14.5 runs. ...
Saturday, 29 June 2019

Football Unders and London Overs

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Although the correlation between the Draw and the Under is well known, Joe posted the above question a week ago.  The prices on th...
Monday, 24 June 2019

17 Leagues, One Season, One Result

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As promised, here are the results of backing the Draw in the 2018-19 season.  As was the case from 2012-2018 , overall we again see the ...
Saturday, 22 June 2019

17 Leagues, 6 Seasons, One Result

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A few days ago, Joe  tweeted the above message.  The 17 leagues are comprised of the top two tiers of the Big Five leagues (England, Fra...
Tuesday, 18 June 2019

A Tale of Two Podcasts

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It was the best of podcasts, it was the worst of podcasts. Well worth 50 minutes of your time is the Pinnacle Podcast with Rufus Pe...
2 comments:
Sunday, 16 June 2019

Flipping Variables

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I mentioned recently the importance of having a logical reason why a system should work, rather than using 'data mining' to find a b...
Saturday, 15 June 2019

Fast and Three

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So in the space of two days, both the NHL and NBA seasons are over, and it's all about baseball for the summer.  At the start of the 2...
Thursday, 13 June 2019

Take The Money Or Run?

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In baseball betting, the question of whether it is better to bet on the Run Line or the Money Line is often asked, including on my Twitter t...

Oh My Yosh!

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Although I pretty much ignore the murky world of tipsters, this story of Darren Rovell  appeared on my timeline and might be of interest to ...

Puck Review 2018-19

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Another market inefficiency paid dividends last night with the conclusion of the 2019-19 NHL season, and the Stanley Cup being won for the f...
Tuesday, 11 June 2019

Segunda Finishes Second

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Spain's Segunda División wrapped up at the weekend, finishing as mentioned previously, just behind Serie B, at least in terms of the Dr...
2 comments:
Sunday, 9 June 2019

Serie B - Draw Central

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Last night's results from Spain mean that for the third consecutive season, the league with the highest Draw percentage is Serie B - o...
Saturday, 8 June 2019

Avoiding Games in the Big Apple

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For those of you wondering where I had gone, my wife's grandfather passed away at the end of last month in California (age 96, and pla...
Thursday, 30 May 2019

Rationale Thinking

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Most of my systems have sound logical reasoning behind them, including the Totals system mentioned yesterday for Major League Baseball.  T...
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About Me

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Cassini
I have had a life-long interest in sports and after studying Pure Mathematics with Statistics at secondary school, have been fascinated by odds and probability. The first system I came up with was a simple one - back the favourite and double up after a loss until a winner. Simple enough in theory, and I told my Dad about it. Not being a betting man himself, he ran it by some of his colleagues, and came home to tell me that it wouldn’t work because a long losing run would mean that the bank would be empty. Then there was always the possibility that the winner would be returned at odds-on, meaning that the total returns would not match the outlay. Not what a ten year old wants to hear! Only slightly daunted, I then went on a search for the Holy Grail, the secret to riches that I knew was out there somewhere. Finally in 2004 I stumbled across an article about Betting Exchanges and four years later I was able to make a steady profit.
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