Green All Over

Established in 2008, this blog is an independent, common sense, look at challenges and opportunities in sports and financial investing, with occasional diversions as my mood takes me. I am not a tipster, nor is this a Profit and Loss report either. They are boring.

Wednesday, 27 September 2023

Missed Bets, Missing Draws

›
One of the challenges with betting when you are keeping 'official' records of a system is that they almost always will not match up ...
Tuesday, 26 September 2023

Winter Gold Mine

›
I hate to be rude, but the Betfair Forum these days is mostly full of nonsense, but occasionally there's a thread that piques my interes...
Monday, 25 September 2023

Fake Indian Cricket League

›
It's a story I first read about in The Guardian last summer, but thanks to Adam there is now an updated version with even more details, ...

Unlucky 13

›
September is historically the worst month of the year for my net worth spreadsheet. Thirteen Septembers since I started tracking, and the av...
Wednesday, 20 September 2023

Longshot Value and Luck

›
I love reading stories about individuals, or groups of people, identifying opportunities in the sports betting markets.  I wrote about the ...
Monday, 18 September 2023

Follow The 'Script

›
My warning about favourites in Rugby proved timely this weekend with Fiji upsetting Australia who were a 1.49 favourite, or at least that...
Saturday, 16 September 2023

Rugby Favourites

›
I briefly mentioned NFL Totals in my last post, and I've spent quite a lot of time looking into the totals for NFL games and identified ...
Monday, 11 September 2023

Draws and NFL Return

›
It's only Week One, and we still have a short season ahead of us, but it was an excellent start to the NFL season for Sacred Manuscript ...
Sunday, 10 September 2023

FIBA 2023

›
The risk - or opportunity - of betting on meaningless games was again illustrated in the Third Place match at the FINA Basketball World Cup....
Saturday, 9 September 2023

Rugby World Cup

›
I briefly mentioned the Rugby World Cup in my last post, and as with the Basketball World Cup, backing the Draw is not a recommended strateg...

Three Million and FIBA

›
At some point in late August, probably on the 31st, this blog crossed the 3 million hits landmark which isn't something I would have tho...
Saturday, 26 August 2023

Weddings, Shadows, Magpies and Manuscripts

›
I shall be taking a few days off starting with today to take advantage of the Bank Holiday Monday and after spending a few days in the Faver...
Sunday, 20 August 2023

Home-Field Advantage in the NFL

›
I ended my previous post with a reference to the NFL Road 'Dog System which has continued to be profitable for far longer than might be ...
1 comment:
Saturday, 19 August 2023

Big Match Draw Update

›
For followers of the Draw in 'big' matches, there's no better match than UEFA's Super Cup which delivered for the 8th time i...
Sunday, 30 July 2023

Overrounds and Apples

›
A rare couple of comments on recent posts, which always makes the next one easier to write. The first was a comment on my Dad's recent p...
Tuesday, 25 July 2023

Changing Rules and Overrounds

›
In my previous post, I said I'd be taking a look at baseball and as a man of my word, here are my findings. And for those who like to th...
1 comment:
‹
›
Home
View web version

About Me

My photo
Cassini
I have had a life-long interest in sports and after studying Pure Mathematics with Statistics at secondary school, have been fascinated by odds and probability. The first system I came up with was a simple one - back the favourite and double up after a loss until a winner. Simple enough in theory, and I told my Dad about it. Not being a betting man himself, he ran it by some of his colleagues, and came home to tell me that it wouldn’t work because a long losing run would mean that the bank would be empty. Then there was always the possibility that the winner would be returned at odds-on, meaning that the total returns would not match the outlay. Not what a ten year old wants to hear! Only slightly daunted, I then went on a search for the Holy Grail, the secret to riches that I knew was out there somewhere. Finally in 2004 I stumbled across an article about Betting Exchanges and four years later I was able to make a steady profit.
View my complete profile