Green All Over

Established in 2008, this blog is an independent, common sense, look at challenges and opportunities in sports and financial investing, with occasional diversions as my mood takes me. I am not a tipster, nor is this a Profit and Loss report either. They are boring.

Monday, 26 February 2024

Another Perfect Final

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Betfair's official Starting Price for the League Cup Final between Liverpool and Chelsea yesterday was 3.8, while the 'official'...
Saturday, 24 February 2024

Berkshire Hathaway Annual Letter 2024

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The 2024 annual letter to Berkshire Hathaway shareholders was published this morning, and as some readers will know, I both own shares in th...
Friday, 23 February 2024

Cups, Major Leagues and 673 Days

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weirimdi followed up on his teaser of a comment regarding Cup competitions with some more data and some additional observations. He wrote:  ...
Wednesday, 21 February 2024

Second Leg When Up / Down By 3+ Goals

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With an early second leg match today in the Europa Conference League, and the remaining 15 matches in this tournament and the Europa League ...
Sunday, 18 February 2024

Cups

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weirimdi had a comment on my last post which was very interesting. He writes: Hello, inspired by your work I collected the data for main int...
1 comment:
Tuesday, 13 February 2024

International Draws Update

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Although neither final in the 2023 Africa Cup of Nations and the AFC Asian Cup resulted in a win, both competitions did end up in profit, an...
1 comment:
Friday, 9 February 2024

Asia and Africa Finals

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The 2023 Africa Cup of Nations and the AFC Asian Cup both come to an end this weekend.  In Asia the Final is between hosts and favourite Qat...
Monday, 5 February 2024

International Football Feast - Africa and Asia

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It's not been the most productive start to a year in terms of posts, as some of you might have noticed. My focus has been in other areas...
Thursday, 11 January 2024

Fun Versus Maths

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Posted on Sportshandle yesterday, an interesting look at betting attitudes / philosophy in the USA observed since it was broadly legalised ...
Tuesday, 9 January 2024

2023 In Review, 2024 In View

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Happy New Year! It would appear that my opening post of 2023 could essentially be re-posted this year since not too much has changed.  Here...
2 comments:
Saturday, 23 December 2023

Wild West

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Long time readers of this blog will be, or should be, very familiar with the edge that has existed in the NFL since the 2006 season when bac...
Sunday, 17 December 2023

Totals Beat Spread

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Not since December 2005 has an NFL Total been set at 30.5 or lower, but Week 14's Thursday Night game between the Pittsburgh Steelers an...
Sunday, 3 December 2023

November Numbers, Charlie Munger and Books

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In my inbox yesterday were two emails, one from The Economist and one from The New York Times , both offering their 'best books of 2023...
1 comment:
Tuesday, 21 November 2023

World Cup Cricket and Two-Thirds Century Wraps

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Despite finishing with a loss in the final, my first real participation in cricket betting during this World Cup has been a positive one.  A...
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About Me

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Cassini
I have had a life-long interest in sports and after studying Pure Mathematics with Statistics at secondary school, have been fascinated by odds and probability. The first system I came up with was a simple one - back the favourite and double up after a loss until a winner. Simple enough in theory, and I told my Dad about it. Not being a betting man himself, he ran it by some of his colleagues, and came home to tell me that it wouldn’t work because a long losing run would mean that the bank would be empty. Then there was always the possibility that the winner would be returned at odds-on, meaning that the total returns would not match the outlay. Not what a ten year old wants to hear! Only slightly daunted, I then went on a search for the Holy Grail, the secret to riches that I knew was out there somewhere. Finally in 2004 I stumbled across an article about Betting Exchanges and four years later I was able to make a steady profit.
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