Green All Over

Established in 2008, this blog is an independent, common sense, look at challenges and opportunities in sports and financial investing, with occasional diversions as my mood takes me. I am not a tipster, nor is this a Profit and Loss report either. They are boring.

Thursday, 28 November 2013

Best Friends

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An excellent read from Punters' Verdict on the fallacy that the bookmaker is there for you, and a friend in need. The opening salvo is ...
Wednesday, 27 November 2013

FTL Update 27.Nov

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Here is the latest FTL sponsored by TFA table up to date as of last night. Let me know if you see any omissions or errors and I will double-...
Sunday, 24 November 2013

Gracias Carlos

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There was just he one Cassini Value Selection this weekend, and an hour in, it wasn't looking good. Having taken an early (6') lead,...
2 comments:
Friday, 22 November 2013

Reliable Numbers

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NBA Tips claim that " a lot of effort goes into making our numbers reliable ", which is a bold claim after having made mistakes wi...
Wednesday, 20 November 2013

Best In Show

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I sometimes check to see what visitors to this blog are doing, or at least what posts they are reading, and some can be seen reading post af...
Monday, 18 November 2013

Stupid Tap Tree (Anag.)

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Despite it being a relatively quiet weekend, with several entrants idle, there were a few notable winners and losers in the FTL. The big w...

Rising Suns Beat The Heat

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We have a winner. The quiz question to name the only team to have led in the Fourth Quarter of all their NBA games this season was answered ...
Sunday, 17 November 2013

Rose-ier Betting Results

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I believe that on many occasions, and indeed quite recently , I have mentioned that one of the hazards of betting pre-game on basketball is ...
Saturday, 16 November 2013

Equalising Formula

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L commented on my past post about levelling up your profits (or losses) writing: Nice stuff Is possible to specify mechanically the ris...
3 comments:

Second-Guessing

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A frustrating Thursday night / Friday morning in the NBA with the Oklahoma City Thunder giving up a game-winning shot as time expi...
4 comments:
Thursday, 14 November 2013

Model Bettors

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In my Bad Bettors post a few days ago, I wrote: In other tipster updates, John Walsh had a quiet week in the NHL, but another profitable ...
Tuesday, 12 November 2013

Mugs And Shrewdies

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Cobo wrote: Thank you for addressing my doubt in length Cassini. It's true the markets pre-off are very very accurate and difficult...
3 comments:
Monday, 11 November 2013

Bad Bettors

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The comment about losing more that would be expected on coin-flip selections is interesting. Is this really true, or do people win 5...
2 comments:
Sunday, 10 November 2013

Homework

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As I suspected, Emp suggests that any tone of patronisation in his earlier comment was quite unintended. I think this may be cultural rath...
1 comment:

Sporting Differences, Innate Ability

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Cobo asked: Hello Cassini, Are you sure that "advanced not publicly available stats" reasoning can only be made for NBA? I don...
3 comments:
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About Me

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Cassini
I have had a life-long interest in sports and after studying Pure Mathematics with Statistics at secondary school, have been fascinated by odds and probability. The first system I came up with was a simple one - back the favourite and double up after a loss until a winner. Simple enough in theory, and I told my Dad about it. Not being a betting man himself, he ran it by some of his colleagues, and came home to tell me that it wouldn’t work because a long losing run would mean that the bank would be empty. Then there was always the possibility that the winner would be returned at odds-on, meaning that the total returns would not match the outlay. Not what a ten year old wants to hear! Only slightly daunted, I then went on a search for the Holy Grail, the secret to riches that I knew was out there somewhere. Finally in 2004 I stumbled across an article about Betting Exchanges and four years later I was able to make a steady profit.
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