Green All Over

Established in 2008, this blog is an independent, common sense, look at challenges and opportunities in sports and financial investing, with occasional diversions as my mood takes me. I am not a tipster, nor is this a Profit and Loss report either. They are boring.

Saturday, 15 March 2014

Mixed Messages

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On Friday, Peter Nordsted emailed a link to his Premier Betting Account Subscribers, the first two selections being: Less than 24 hours l...
3 comments:
Wednesday, 12 March 2014

State The Average

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Because of the continuous threat of police action, I am hesitant to say where I read the following statement: I've spent time putting ...
1 comment:
Tuesday, 11 March 2014

Spiders, Diamonds, Cubes - Miaow

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No joy for the Monday night Cassini Value Selection of Osasuna to beat Malaga, but three winners from the total of five selections was enoug...
3 comments:
Sunday, 9 March 2014

Cod Help Us

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A few comments on my 'fast-data' post, with some people still missing the point, and having explained the issue as well as I can, ...
4 comments:
Saturday, 8 March 2014

Moral Obligation

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As expected, the court-sider case against Sporting Data’s Daniel Dobson has been dropped. In the civilised world, it is always hard to gai...
7 comments:
Friday, 7 March 2014

Its Not Right

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Queens Park Rangers published their accounts yesterday, with West Ham United fan, co-owner and Chairman Tony Fernandes writing: ' A ...
2 comments:

Lakers Clipped

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One of the easier wins of my NBA season just over, as the Clippers dominated the battle of Los Angeles, away at rivals Lakers winnin...
Thursday, 6 March 2014

Controlling The Process

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On the topic of draws and my assertion that the value is in matches where the true goal expectancy is less than the market's goal expect...
1 comment:
Wednesday, 5 March 2014

Jogged Memories (2009)

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Some interesting comments on my previous post that I shall return to as time allows, but in the meantime this news about Gary Calder bro...
9 comments:
Tuesday, 4 March 2014

That's More Like It

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Life is never dull. By sheer chance, my early morning perusal of my Twitter timeline drew me to the latest post from Steve over at Daily25 ...
19 comments:
Monday, 3 March 2014

FTL (Plus One) Update 2.March.2014

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Hopefully the accounting department didn't mess up the numbers this week, another error on Jamie A's would be especially embarrassin...
4 comments:
Sunday, 2 March 2014

Illogical Lays

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I had a good question from a subscriber regarding the Bundeslayga Selections for this weekend. With Borussia Dortmund priced by Pinnacle at ...
Friday, 28 February 2014

When The Smog Clears, UCLA

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I mentioned 'laying low' as one of my favourite strategies in my earlier post, and here is an example from last night of how it can ...
1 comment:

Lay Back And Simplify

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I was reading a paper called THE EXTENT OF PRICE MISALIGNMENT IN PREDICTION MARKETS by David Rothschild David Pennock* and while the subject...
Thursday, 27 February 2014

Suns Fail To Shine

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I hope some of you made some money from yesterday's lay recommendation of the Phoenix Suns . At the time of writing, the Suns were in th...
Wednesday, 26 February 2014

Sportgasbord

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Messing up on Jamie A's numbers is becoming a weekly occurrence, but fortunately Jamie is a most honest chap, rather like myself, and he...
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About Me

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Cassini
I have had a life-long interest in sports and after studying Pure Mathematics with Statistics at secondary school, have been fascinated by odds and probability. The first system I came up with was a simple one - back the favourite and double up after a loss until a winner. Simple enough in theory, and I told my Dad about it. Not being a betting man himself, he ran it by some of his colleagues, and came home to tell me that it wouldn’t work because a long losing run would mean that the bank would be empty. Then there was always the possibility that the winner would be returned at odds-on, meaning that the total returns would not match the outlay. Not what a ten year old wants to hear! Only slightly daunted, I then went on a search for the Holy Grail, the secret to riches that I knew was out there somewhere. Finally in 2004 I stumbled across an article about Betting Exchanges and four years later I was able to make a steady profit.
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