Green All Over

Established in 2008, this blog is an independent, common sense, look at challenges and opportunities in sports and financial investing, with occasional diversions as my mood takes me. I am not a tipster, nor is this a Profit and Loss report either. They are boring.

Saturday, 6 April 2019

Away Days

›
Tonight sees the final games in the NHL's Regular season, with one Basic selection (Winnipeg Jets) before we can update the numbers but ...

Flipping Nonsense and Accumulating Perception

›
Pinnacle have some excellent articles on their website , check out anything from Joseph Buchdahl as an example, but as I have written befor...
Friday, 5 April 2019

MLB Favourites and Opening Day Results

›
With the new baseball season comes opportunity, and unfortunately quite often misleading or outdated information. One such statement on Su...
Friday, 29 March 2019

Zero-Sum And Morals

›
The meme of the day in betting and trading conversation would appear to be the clarification that when betting, it is not you against the bi...
Wednesday, 27 March 2019

Numbers, Not Teams

›
One advantage of work travel is the opportunity to read during flights, and on my latest trip I took the opportunity to re-read Jack Moore...
2 comments:
Sunday, 24 March 2019

Flies Dropping and Bats Swinging

›
They're dropping like flies at the moment. Hot on the heels of the retirement of Simple Soccer Stats mentioned in my previous post, I r...
Friday, 15 March 2019

Dispersion Of Skill

›
One of the longer running blogs linked to by the longest running of all sports investing blogs is that of Simple Soccer Stats where Leon Pi...
Thursday, 14 March 2019

Gone Dancing, Madness

›
One Draw from the ten English Premier League games this weekend, and it wasn't the Big 6 match, means that the percentage of Draws this ...
Thursday, 7 March 2019

Stop The Press: Spurs Draw

›
So Spurs finally draw a league game, ending the streak at 32, their first 'Big 6' Draw in 11 months. Qualifying Big 6 matches are ...
Saturday, 9 February 2019

25/25

›
It's been a while since we looked at the Draw in the Premier League, in part because there haven't been that many this season. With ...
Monday, 4 February 2019

Bayes Laughs, Others Miss The Joke

›
It was't the most exciting end to the 2018 NFL season with the lowest scoring Super Bowl ever, but from an investment perspective, it wa...
Thursday, 31 January 2019

Undesirable Behaviour

›
In my last post, I mentioned a comment made by spanky, whose bio on Twitter describes him as a Professional Sports Bettor. Some of you follo...
Saturday, 26 January 2019

The Super Bowl Trap

›
According to the NFL Players Association, the average career length is about 3.3 years, which makes it all the more remarkable that of the 1...
Sunday, 13 January 2019

NFL Divisional Round 2018

›
The New England Patriots are unique among NFL teams in that when it comes to the playoffs, there's a relative abundance of data to look ...
Wednesday, 9 January 2019

Streaking On Ice

›
While the NFL playoffs are the most high profile thing going on in January for the sports I follow, the NHL and NBA continue on a daily basi...
Tuesday, 8 January 2019

American Football Pro Am

›
The NFL Wild Card Weekend "W" strategy ( U nders and U nderdogs) was again profitable this past weekend: Small Road 'Dogs (...
Sunday, 6 January 2019

NFL Wild Card Weekend 2018 Season

›
This weekend's Wild Card and next week's Divisional rounds are my favourite of the NFL season. Two elimination games a day, and wi...
‹
›
Home
View web version

About Me

My photo
Cassini
I have had a life-long interest in sports and after studying Pure Mathematics with Statistics at secondary school, have been fascinated by odds and probability. The first system I came up with was a simple one - back the favourite and double up after a loss until a winner. Simple enough in theory, and I told my Dad about it. Not being a betting man himself, he ran it by some of his colleagues, and came home to tell me that it wouldn’t work because a long losing run would mean that the bank would be empty. Then there was always the possibility that the winner would be returned at odds-on, meaning that the total returns would not match the outlay. Not what a ten year old wants to hear! Only slightly daunted, I then went on a search for the Holy Grail, the secret to riches that I knew was out there somewhere. Finally in 2004 I stumbled across an article about Betting Exchanges and four years later I was able to make a steady profit.
View my complete profile