Thursday, 28 March 2024

Daniel Kahneman RIP

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I've often mentioned here the importance of psychology in investing, and probably the top expert in "the field of psychology of jud...
Saturday, 23 March 2024

Towel Throwing

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Back in November, I mentioned a fairly well known tipster who, during a poor run of results, suggested that increasing stakes might be a go...
Friday, 22 March 2024

16 Down

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This blog is now into its 17th year, and not too many sports investing blogs can claim this longevity.  Matekus' Sports Trader blog has...
Thursday, 21 March 2024

Seoul Split

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Major League Baseball is back, sort of, with a couple of games this week in South Korea before the season starts for real next Thursday with...
Wednesday, 20 March 2024

39 Months of Imminency

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On September 21st, 2020, I bought some stock in a company called Chipotle Mexican Grill at a little under $2,000 per share ($1,196.45 to be ...
1 comment:
Tuesday, 19 March 2024

For Only Metal, What a Bore

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I also took a further look at how Big 6 matchups played out when the teams meet in the late stages of domestic cups (FA Cup Quarter-Finals, ...
Friday, 15 March 2024

Neutral Nuisance

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A unique scenario in the Europa Conference League last night as Olympiacos became the first team in European Competition spreadsheet history...
Thursday, 14 March 2024

Second Legs and Big 6 Cup Ties

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I mentioned on Tuesday that: The Champions League Round of 16 closes this week with four second leg matches remaining, and to date, fewer th...
Tuesday, 12 March 2024

Big Draws, Second Leg Draws, and Bitcoin

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As I mentioned last week, backing the Draw in "Big 6" matches this season has been rather rewarding, and the Liverpool v Mancheste...
1 comment:
Thursday, 7 March 2024

Shadow Chasing and Mindset Shifting

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I'm a little bit late with this update, but February was an interesting month. It had the extra Leap Day this year, which to salaried em...
Monday, 26 February 2024

Another Perfect Final

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Betfair's official Starting Price for the League Cup Final between Liverpool and Chelsea yesterday was 3.8, while the 'official'...
Saturday, 24 February 2024

Berkshire Hathaway Annual Letter 2024

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The 2024 annual letter to Berkshire Hathaway shareholders was published this morning, and as some readers will know, I both own shares in th...
Friday, 23 February 2024

Cups, Major Leagues and 673 Days

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weirimdi followed up on his teaser of a comment regarding Cup competitions with some more data and some additional observations. He wrote:  ...
Wednesday, 21 February 2024

Second Leg When Up / Down By 3+ Goals

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With an early second leg match today in the Europa Conference League, and the remaining 15 matches in this tournament and the Europa League ...
Sunday, 18 February 2024

Cups

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weirimdi had a comment on my last post which was very interesting. He writes: Hello, inspired by your work I collected the data for main int...
1 comment:
Tuesday, 13 February 2024

International Draws Update

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Although neither final in the 2023 Africa Cup of Nations and the AFC Asian Cup resulted in a win, both competitions did end up in profit, an...
1 comment:
Friday, 9 February 2024

Asia and Africa Finals

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The 2023 Africa Cup of Nations and the AFC Asian Cup both come to an end this weekend.  In Asia the Final is between hosts and favourite Qat...
Monday, 5 February 2024

International Football Feast - Africa and Asia

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It's not been the most productive start to a year in terms of posts, as some of you might have noticed. My focus has been in other areas...
Thursday, 11 January 2024

Fun Versus Maths

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Posted on Sportshandle yesterday, an interesting look at betting attitudes / philosophy in the USA observed since it was broadly legalised ...