When I returned from my summer holiday last month, I posted some predictions on the MLB season, and I thought I might review how some of them have fared.
Here's what I wrote: In the National League, I am expecting to see the addition of Manny Ramirez help the Dodgers to overtake the Diamondbacks in the West, (Dodgers now lead the Diamondbacks by 3.5 games) whilst in the East there’s a tight race between three contenders – the Phillies, Marlins and Mets with the Marlins my tip to fade away. (Marlins faded away - it's between the Mets and Phillies). In the Central Division the Cubs should be too strong for the Brewers (Cubs lead by 9 games) and may well end the season as the best team overall in the MLB. (Currently 2nd to the Angels).
Not too shabby, if I say so myself. (No one else will say it if I don't).
About Me
- Cassini
- I have had a life-long interest in sports and after studying Pure Mathematics with Statistics at secondary school, have been fascinated by odds and probability. The first system I came up with was a simple one - back the favourite and double up after a loss until a winner. Simple enough in theory, and I told my Dad about it. Not being a betting man himself, he ran it by some of his colleagues, and came home to tell me that it wouldn’t work because a long losing run would mean that the bank would be empty. Then there was always the possibility that the winner would be returned at odds-on, meaning that the total returns would not match the outlay. Not what a ten year old wants to hear! Only slightly daunted, I then went on a search for the Holy Grail, the secret to riches that I knew was out there somewhere. Finally in 2004 I stumbled across an article about Betting Exchanges and four years later I was able to make a steady profit.
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