Manchester City v West Ham United. Home win. City (1.45) have a higher Elo rating, better form, and a higher power rating, and are value for the win.
Update:
Back Manchester City (1.45) v West Ham United W 45
09-10 Totals - Stake: 800 Return: 1127.07 P/L: +327.07 (40.9%)
About Me
- Cassini
- I have had a life-long interest in sports and after studying Pure Mathematics with Statistics at secondary school, have been fascinated by odds and probability. The first system I came up with was a simple one - back the favourite and double up after a loss until a winner. Simple enough in theory, and I told my Dad about it. Not being a betting man himself, he ran it by some of his colleagues, and came home to tell me that it wouldn’t work because a long losing run would mean that the bank would be empty. Then there was always the possibility that the winner would be returned at odds-on, meaning that the total returns would not match the outlay. Not what a ten year old wants to hear! Only slightly daunted, I then went on a search for the Holy Grail, the secret to riches that I knew was out there somewhere. Finally in 2004 I stumbled across an article about Betting Exchanges and four years later I was able to make a steady profit.
That was nice and easy.
ReplyDeleteYep - if only it were always so easy!
ReplyDelete