Some disappointing results in the Premier League again, with Spurs loss at home to Stoke probably the biggest shock. I had Chelsea as 4 goal favourites to beat Blackburn, and nearly had a punt on the "Any Unquoted", but of course didn't. Had I done so, the result would have been 0-0, or at least, it sometimes seems that way. Burnley's home form deserted them, and they may still be in for a long season. Good results for the other promoted sides though, although Wolves draw cost me some cash. I was looking good for three minutes! Hull v Portsmouth was predicted a draw, but on paper only. C'est la vie.
The good news is that the Championship continues to show more consistency than the Premier League. Whether this is a blip remains to be seen, but including midweek, 10 predicted home wins have obliged, and the draw prediction accuracy isn't too bad with the running total being 4 of 10 so far. Away predictions are running at 100%, but don't get too excited - that was today's QPR win at Derby.
In the Championship the results were:
Home selections 3 from 5, with two Draws (Running Total 10 from 12, 2 Draws)
Draw selections 3 from 5, with two Away (RT 4 from 10, with 2 Homes, 2 Aways)
Away selections 1 from 1 (RT 100%!)
In League One the results were:
Home selections 5 from 7, with one Draw and one Away
Draw selections 0 from 3, with two Home and one Away
Away selections 0 from 1, with one Draw
In League Two the results were:
Home selections 6 from 8, with one Draw and one Away
Draw selections 1 from 2, with one Home
Away selections 0 from 1, with one Draw
For what it's worth, and on the basis of today's results, that's not too much, my expectations for tomorrow in the Premier League are:
Bolton v Everton Away win by 1 goal
Liverpool v Man Utd Draw
Man City v Fulham Home win by 1 goal
West Ham v Arsenal Away win by 2 goals
Finally, I never realised before today that the increments in the Asian Handicap are .01 - you learn something new every day.
About Me
- Cassini
- I have had a life-long interest in sports and after studying Pure Mathematics with Statistics at secondary school, have been fascinated by odds and probability. The first system I came up with was a simple one - back the favourite and double up after a loss until a winner. Simple enough in theory, and I told my Dad about it. Not being a betting man himself, he ran it by some of his colleagues, and came home to tell me that it wouldn’t work because a long losing run would mean that the bank would be empty. Then there was always the possibility that the winner would be returned at odds-on, meaning that the total returns would not match the outlay. Not what a ten year old wants to hear! Only slightly daunted, I then went on a search for the Holy Grail, the secret to riches that I knew was out there somewhere. Finally in 2004 I stumbled across an article about Betting Exchanges and four years later I was able to make a steady profit.
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