While updating my spreadsheet with today's FA Cup results, I noticed that had I backed the expected results, I would have been in profit, so with a warning about team selections, the expected outcomes for tomorrow's games are:
Chelsea by 4 v Watford; Manchester United by 4 v Leeds United; Notts County by 2 v Forest Green Rovers; Sheffield United by 1 v Queens Park Rangers; Wolverhampton Wanderers by 2 @ Tranmere Rovers; Arsenal by 2 @ West Ham United.
And in the Scottish League - Rangers by 1 @ Celtic; Heart of Midlothian by 2 @ Hibernian; Dundee by 2 v Airdrie United.
The predictions for the Scottish League are currently the most accurate so far. All four divisions there are hitting at least 33.33%, which compares favourably with the best of the English Leagues - League One at 30.12%.
About Me
- Cassini
- I have had a life-long interest in sports and after studying Pure Mathematics with Statistics at secondary school, have been fascinated by odds and probability. The first system I came up with was a simple one - back the favourite and double up after a loss until a winner. Simple enough in theory, and I told my Dad about it. Not being a betting man himself, he ran it by some of his colleagues, and came home to tell me that it wouldn’t work because a long losing run would mean that the bank would be empty. Then there was always the possibility that the winner would be returned at odds-on, meaning that the total returns would not match the outlay. Not what a ten year old wants to hear! Only slightly daunted, I then went on a search for the Holy Grail, the secret to riches that I knew was out there somewhere. Finally in 2004 I stumbled across an article about Betting Exchanges and four years later I was able to make a steady profit.
Hey,
ReplyDeleteI disagree with your Man Utd margin, Leeds are on fire in League One and only just lost to liverpool 1-0 earlier in the season.
I think it will be a close game myself.
Jay
www.amanthatlays.blogspot.com
Yeah, I disagree too. But that's just because, like any footy fan, I'm an optimist to the end.
ReplyDeleteIs it too late for me to disagree too? In 1976 I was at Elland Road with Palace for a 4th round cup tie. Palace were flying high in Division Three, Leeds were top of Division One and Palace outplayed them to win 1-0. Went on to reach the semi-finals that year too! Results like these are why I stay clear of Cup matches!
ReplyDeleteHa!
ReplyDeleteWas a good game, Still think we should have won 2-0, especially after snodgrass hit the bar/post with his freekick.
Beckford went close a couple of ther times.
A well deserved win i believe!
Jay
www.amanthatlays.blogspot.com
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