It looks like it'll be a slow weekend with the weather as it is. The Pools Panel will be busy. The advantage of postponed games is that it allows more time to focus on the remaining fixtures. Here are my predictions for the games that haven't yet been called off.
The nap selection of the weekend for me are Fulham, expected to win by 2 at home to Portsmouth, and available at 1.78. Fulham have won 60% of their games at home with a +9 goal difference, while Portsmouth have lost 70% of their away games by a total of 11 goals. The price is presumably out of sync with my ratings because of the injuries to Zamora, Hangeland and Pantsil, but even so this looks value to me.
Other stand-outs are Burnley (2.38) at home to Stoke City, although be warned that the loss of Owen Coyle may have dampened spirits at Turf Moor. Northampton Town (2.42) are good value to beat Chesterfield, as are Leicester City (2.14) v Ipswich Town, Sunderland (2.05) v Bolton Wanderers, Leeds United (1.3) v Wycombe Wanderers
Other home wins for Arsenal, Cardiff City, Crystal Palace, Derby County, Queens Park Rangers, Norwich City, Liverpool, West Ham United and Manchester City.
Draws are the expectation at West Bromwich Albion (3.8), Coventry (3.45), Middlesbrough (3.6) and Peterhead (3.8).
Away wins for Chelsea, Aston Villa and Manchester United.
Stay warm.
About Me
- Cassini
- I have had a life-long interest in sports and after studying Pure Mathematics with Statistics at secondary school, have been fascinated by odds and probability. The first system I came up with was a simple one - back the favourite and double up after a loss until a winner. Simple enough in theory, and I told my Dad about it. Not being a betting man himself, he ran it by some of his colleagues, and came home to tell me that it wouldn’t work because a long losing run would mean that the bank would be empty. Then there was always the possibility that the winner would be returned at odds-on, meaning that the total returns would not match the outlay. Not what a ten year old wants to hear! Only slightly daunted, I then went on a search for the Holy Grail, the secret to riches that I knew was out there somewhere. Finally in 2004 I stumbled across an article about Betting Exchanges and four years later I was able to make a steady profit.
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