There are a few teams playing today that look to represent excellent value in comparison to their predicted win margin. A little more research is needed, especially in the lower leagues, but here we go:
In the Championship, I like the look of Blackpool at 2.34, Bristol City at 2.22, Cardiff City at 2.36 and Nottingham Forest at 2.12, all predicted to win their home games by one.
In League One the value bet is Swindon Town at 1.77 v Bristol Rovers.
In League Two, Aldershot Town at 2.1, Port Vale at 2.66 and Rotherham United at 2.12 look good value and all are expected to win by one.
The Conference National throws up Barrow at 2.34, Kidderminster at 2.2 (away to Eastbourne Borough), York City at 2.14 (away to Forest Green Rovers), Luton Town at 2.12 (away to Hayes and Yeading), Histon at 2.16, Kettering Town at 1.34 and Stevenage at 1.55.
Queen's Park 2.48 v Berwick Rangers in Scotland, and across the sea, the top picks are:
Bundesliga: SC Freiburg 2.46 v Hannover 96
La Liga: Deportivo La Coruna 1.75 v Tenerife
La Ligue: Nice 2.26 v Nancy
Serie A: Fiorentina 2.6 v Juventus and AS Roma 2.5 v AC Milan
About Me
- Cassini
- I have had a life-long interest in sports and after studying Pure Mathematics with Statistics at secondary school, have been fascinated by odds and probability. The first system I came up with was a simple one - back the favourite and double up after a loss until a winner. Simple enough in theory, and I told my Dad about it. Not being a betting man himself, he ran it by some of his colleagues, and came home to tell me that it wouldn’t work because a long losing run would mean that the bank would be empty. Then there was always the possibility that the winner would be returned at odds-on, meaning that the total returns would not match the outlay. Not what a ten year old wants to hear! Only slightly daunted, I then went on a search for the Holy Grail, the secret to riches that I knew was out there somewhere. Finally in 2004 I stumbled across an article about Betting Exchanges and four years later I was able to make a steady profit.
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