Some good priced winners in the Match Odds markets tonight, with six winners from the eight picks posted.
The only selection to actually lose was Cheltenham v Hereford United, so a lay of the opposed team there would have hurt, but the other seven lays would have meant an overall profit.
I actually layed two teams, Stockport (6.0) at Bristol Rovers and Dagenham and Redbridge (3.05) at Torquay United in my efforts to achieve Maria’s success using her laying system. One selection from each of Leagues One and Two.
As I mentioned in my post yesterday, there were some good prices available in today’s matches, and with hindsight, they look even better!
Southampton won at 2.22, Aldershot at 2.4, Port Vale at 2.36, Rochdale at 1.95 and Bristol Rovers at 1.71.
Notts County at 1.47 were a little tight, but a winner’s a winner.
The only negative was that only one match of the eight finished exactly as predicted (Aldershot Town by 1), but these lower leagues appear to be harder to hit exactly than those at the top. The strategy here appears to be to back the selection, especially at the longer odds that are often available.
No doubt a profit (pre-commission) of 4.11 to a 1 point stake per match (+51%) won’t be enough to make Anonymous happy, but it’ll do for me.
About Me
- Cassini
- I have had a life-long interest in sports and after studying Pure Mathematics with Statistics at secondary school, have been fascinated by odds and probability. The first system I came up with was a simple one - back the favourite and double up after a loss until a winner. Simple enough in theory, and I told my Dad about it. Not being a betting man himself, he ran it by some of his colleagues, and came home to tell me that it wouldn’t work because a long losing run would mean that the bank would be empty. Then there was always the possibility that the winner would be returned at odds-on, meaning that the total returns would not match the outlay. Not what a ten year old wants to hear! Only slightly daunted, I then went on a search for the Holy Grail, the secret to riches that I knew was out there somewhere. Finally in 2004 I stumbled across an article about Betting Exchanges and four years later I was able to make a steady profit.
So you had one winner out of your 8winner margin bets yet still turned the profit you mentioned?
ReplyDeleteWhen the margins hit you claim to have been on the margin bets. When the margins don't hit, it's not a problem because you will generally just have been on the win.
Out of the 8 teams you said yesterday SHOULD win by one or two, only one actually did as they SHOULD have done. Nice.