Football Elite had two short-list bets today. Stuttgart won at 2.3, but Fulham were held to a 0-0 draw by Wolves, a team who have picked up as many points as Liverpool away from home this season!
The Sports Betting Professor's baseball tips went 2-1 yesterday, but to a 100 point stake (assuming 5% commission) they are down a massive 1126.17 points after a 14-24 start to the season.
He's back with an NBA selection today, as the play-offs get under way. Last year, the opening games of each series were split 4-4, and were 2-6 in 2008, and with the market typically heavily favouring every home team in the opening game, (the longest price is for the Celtics at 1.56, the shortest is the Cavaliers at 1.11), I will be looking at an initial lay of the home team. None of the weekend play-off games overlap, so there's a veritable feast of action ahead, and hopefully some close games. Not many NBA games see the favourite steadily descend to 1.01 which makes the NBA so perfect for trading.
Back to football, and Chelsea have drifted to 1.8 following their loss at Tottenham today. They've been backed as low as 1.13. A very exciting finish to the season.
About Me
- Cassini
- I have had a life-long interest in sports and after studying Pure Mathematics with Statistics at secondary school, have been fascinated by odds and probability. The first system I came up with was a simple one - back the favourite and double up after a loss until a winner. Simple enough in theory, and I told my Dad about it. Not being a betting man himself, he ran it by some of his colleagues, and came home to tell me that it wouldn’t work because a long losing run would mean that the bank would be empty. Then there was always the possibility that the winner would be returned at odds-on, meaning that the total returns would not match the outlay. Not what a ten year old wants to hear! Only slightly daunted, I then went on a search for the Holy Grail, the secret to riches that I knew was out there somewhere. Finally in 2004 I stumbled across an article about Betting Exchanges and four years later I was able to make a steady profit.
Does the SBP tip things up based on betfair prices? Is he not American? He likely gets better prices (early) and doesn't have to pay 5% commission.
ReplyDeleteMight be completely wrong and wouldn't want to defend him but just wondering if you're figures make him look worse than he is.
I love all these traders who think that volatile in-running prices = free money.
ReplyDelete