Not much doing on the trading front right now. I have a couple of projects which are taking up time - the main one is researching a possible angle in baseball, a sport that certainly doesn't lack statistics.
The Sports's Betting Professor went 0-3 on Monday's MLB games with no selections in the NBA, where I'm hoping that the Jazz can narrow a ten point Lakers lead with one quarter to go. The price is 1.07/1.08 which for me is a value lay since the Lakers have a habit of easing up but they've held a lead in or close to double figures for much of the game.
Football Elite has some short-list bets in France and Spain, but nothing in the Recommended Bets category. Currently (assuming commission at 5%) the latter are down 0.625 to a level 1 point and a record of 34 wins from 80 selections since I signed up in late November. The short-list bets are up 9.909 with 44 wins from 108 including Blackburn's win over Arsenal on Monday at 4.0.
And I found this amusing piece from Neal Widdows on the WSC site:
"I was struck by Crystal Palace captain Shaun Derry's revelation about his side's post-match rituals after they had grabbed a late draw at Derby last Saturday: 'We try to get whatever food we can down us after a game like this. We've eaten all sorts on the way home this season and I'm sure a good KFC won't do us any harm right now. A lot of studies have shown it doesn't really matter what you eat after a game – you'll burn off anything. And to eat pasta, pasta, pasta all the time just does your tits in.' Is the latter a medical term? Arsène Wenger should take note anyhow."
I'm curious as to what prices you record these football elite bets at.
ReplyDeleteYou mention 5% commission so assume you are looking at betfair prices. Do you use the price on betfair at the time you receive the tip? the starting price? Or something else.
I use the price that I get matched at. Matt gives the prices available when he sends out the e-mail, but I'm often late so the prices I get are different. Strangely, quite often I get matched at a better price than expected - a quirk that Matt himself has commented on. Other times of course, the price has come in slightly.
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