When I said in the last post that
Football Elite doesn't actually tell its subscribers how many points or percentage of the bank to bet. That is entirely up to the individual- that wasn't actually correct. I meant that when the selections come out, there is no differentiation between bets in the same category - either Recommended or Short-List. Unless I haven't noticed, the stake on Recommended Bets is always 1 point.
Joep remembers more, and says:
FE does advise on staking plan, for instance the 8.12 points profit he made this year equals 32% ROC, which would be correct for a 25 point staking system.Another internationals week which means no decent football until the weekend.
http://www.football-elite.co.uk/total_results.html
Also remember Matt saying in an email he advises a 25 point bankroll, think it was in last email of last season or the first one of this season. (40 points for the shortlist bets).
Another Utah Jazz game last night, and again they went down by double digits, (13), but this time at home. The Thunder traded as low as 1.21 before the Jazz began their sixth successive comeback, but unfortunately this time they came up a little short, closing to within three before finally losing by seven. Not before we saw a flip-flop though.
When a team plays their first home game after a long road trip, it's not unusual to see them under-perform.
One other NBA statistic of note is that this season, 'dogs are currently winning at 61.8%. Early season games in most sports are often unpredictable, but that number is quite remarkable. Even the New Jersey Nets won as 'dogs on the road against a Western Conference team last night. When was the last time THAT happened? - 23 games ago.
Does Football Elite also pay no commission on Betfair? Looking at their results for this season, they have managed to win two bets at exchange-only odds of 2.28 and 2.29, and booked all of it as profit.
ReplyDeleteSeems dubious to me...
There are numerous ways similar services boost their figures, that'll be one of them.
ReplyDeleteI always like the guys who bet 10 points on any bet so they can claim 10x the profit.
US phone tipsters used to have a ruse whereby different callers would receive opposite sides on the same game. That way, the theory went, at least half would have a winner and may call back.
Ive touched on other aspects of it in a previous comment. A comment which, for a change, has been ignored by the writer of this blog. Either means he agrees with it all or he's deep in thought attempting to come up with a condescending reply based on ill thought out ideas.
The quoted odds in my results is the top price 30 mins after I have sent the email out. I could record at top price when the email is sent out if i wanted to artificially boost figures but I dont as I dont think its a fair way of recording as no-one will get top price every time.
ReplyDeleteI could quote prices from newcomer firms like Betonline24/7 whose odds look too good to be true to artificially boost figures but I dont.
I do not quote exchange prices. I'm not sure how 2.28 or 2.29 are "exchange only prices". That's just a bizarre comment.
I'm sure anon will accuse me of spamming now but I dont think its fair for people to make wrong statements without being challenged on them.
Which bookmakers offer prices of 2.28 or 2.29 on match odds?
ReplyDeleteI know Asians would but I can't think of any others. Pinnacle maybe? I'm not saying there aren't any. Just curious.
Off the top of my head I don't think betfair offer 2.29 anyway. Betdaq may.
Which bookmakers offer prices of 2.28 or 2.29 on match odds?
ReplyDeleteI know Asians would but I can't think of any others. Pinnacle maybe? I'm not saying there aren't any. Just curious.
Off the top of my head I don't think betfair offer 2.29 anyway. Betdaq may.
I don't think anyone has accused you of spamming. Cassini does a fine job of promoting your service anyway.
ReplyDeleteDo your tips really move the market? The 30 mins delay suggests you think so, yet you also say in your blurb that prices often drift as they tend to be unfashionable fancies.
ReplyDeleteMoney in Asia is generally that which moves the markets in major leagues. I'm happy to be proved wrong but I don't think bets from a two bob tipster and his clients will have the same impact unless the top prices are out of line and, probably, can't be bet in size in any case.