Great post as usual Cassini,At least someone gets it.
Couldn't agree more on the comment about overs/unders "trading" being gambling.... It most definitely is.
If you have identified an overs/unders price as value pre K.O then surely you have a winning betting strategy long term and trading out will impact your total profit in a negative way? Trading out would lessen losing runs however but would prove less profitable if your assessment of a value bet/trade was correct.
Now there is no evidence that Odwyer is the central character for the following quote, but on Betfair's Football Forum, someone asked if he "has enough to go pro with". Why I thought of Odwyer I have no idea, since he's not worked in years so far as I know, but there was one amusing reply from a Warro, who wrote:
Saying that you've received a redundancy payment and fancy having a crack at being a pro punter is a bit like saying that you received a tennis racquet for Christmas, so you will be entering Wimbledon this year.It neatly hits the nail on the head, that there is more to 'going pro' than depositing funds into your account.
Are City Value at odds of over 2.0 today, I haven't seen the teamsheets but is my gut feel right ?
ReplyDeleteI had City priced at 2.3, United at 3.37, the draw at 3.72.
ReplyDelete