All Roads Lead To 1.4

Much has been written this season about how Liverpool are always priced too short, and today's game v Aston Villa sees Liverpool recommended as a lay at 1.4 by Neil. Al opts for the draw, while Premier Edge go for 2 or 3 goals in this match, (2.13 BETDAQ) but don't involve themselves in the Match Odds market.

For me, there is little value in the Match Odds prices for this match, but I do have a different opinion on the Unders markets. While our Match Odds numbers are in synch, we arrive there by different routes. Betfair has the Over 2.5 favourite at 1.83, while I have Under 2.5 priced at 1.8 based on recent form, although for matches with this 'profile' as they say, my Over 2.5 price is 1.83. Incidentally, my price on the 2 or 3 goals market is 2.23.

With Neil and Premier Edge both in profit in the FTL, I thought I might share their selections this week. First up Neil who goes for:

Liverpool v Villa - Lay Liverpool @ 1.4
Norwich v Wigan - Norwich @ 2.29 [I have Norwich at 1.97 - Value!, and Norwich are out to 2.4 right now]
QPR v Fulham - Draw @ 3.56
Stoke v Everton - Stoke @ 3.24 [3.15 - No Value]

and from Premier Edge on a run of 17 winners from the last 23 selections comes no less than 14 more picks this week:

Liverpool v Aston Villa – 2 or 3 goals (2.13 at Betdaq) [2.23]
Manchester United v Sunderland – Under 3.25 goals Asian Goal line (1.943 at Pinnacle)
Norwich v Wigan – 2 or 3 goals (2.12 at Betdaq) [2.08]
QPR v Fulham – BTTS: No (2.35 at 32Red)
Stoke v Everton – 2 or 3 goals (2.12 at Betdaq) [2.08]
Mallorca v Athletic Bilbao – 2 or 3 goals (2.0 at Paddy Power) [2.27]
Granada v Real Sociedad – Over 2.25 goals Asian Goal line (1.943 at Pinnacle)
Sevilla v Malaga – Sevilla -0.25 Asian Handicap (1.877 at Pinnacle)
Sevilla v Malaga – 2 or 3 goals (2.0 at Paddy Power) [2.1]
Zaragoza v Levante – Both Teams to Score: No (2.0 at Ladbrokes) [1.83]
Tottenham v Swansea – Under 3 goals Asian Goal line (1.787 at Pinnacle)
Valencia v Rayo Vallecano – Both Teams to Score: Yes (1.8 at BetVictor) [1.75]
Real Madrid v Espanyol – Both Teams to Score: No (1.8 at Paddy Power/Stan James) [1.44]
Barcelona v Atletico Madrid – Over 3.25 goals Asian Goal line (1.952 at Pinnacle)

There are also three Bundeslayga (also in profit) selections this week: