Green All Over

Established in 2008, this blog is an independent, common sense, look at challenges and opportunities in sports and financial investing, with occasional diversions as my mood takes me. I am not a tipster, nor is this a Profit and Loss report either. They are boring.

Saturday, 23 December 2023

Wild West

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Long time readers of this blog will be, or should be, very familiar with the edge that has existed in the NFL since the 2006 season when bac...
Sunday, 17 December 2023

Totals Beat Spread

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Not since December 2005 has an NFL Total been set at 30.5 or lower, but Week 14's Thursday Night game between the Pittsburgh Steelers an...
Sunday, 3 December 2023

November Numbers, Charlie Munger and Books

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In my inbox yesterday were two emails, one from The Economist and one from The New York Times , both offering their 'best books of 2023...
1 comment:
Tuesday, 21 November 2023

World Cup Cricket and Two-Thirds Century Wraps

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Despite finishing with a loss in the final, my first real participation in cricket betting during this World Cup has been a positive one.  A...
Saturday, 18 November 2023

NBA Cup

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This season, the NBA has introduced an "In-Season Tournament" which isn't exactly the most exciting of names for a new competi...
Thursday, 16 November 2023

Gambler's Fallacy

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I'm not going to mention any names, but one tipster  with an excellent track record who I've been following for several years now, r...
Tuesday, 14 November 2023

Cricket and FRAN

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With the opening stage of the Cricket World Cup now complete, thanks to Odds Portal I have now have the approximate prices for 167 such mat...
Saturday, 4 November 2023

October: Texas, UMPO, Cricket, Indexes and Health

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The 2023 baseball season came to an end earlier this week with yet another underdog win for the Texas Rangers who clinched their first ever ...
1 comment:
Sunday, 29 October 2023

World Cups - Rugby to Cricket

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It appears that Adam Johnson has sadly passed away at the age of just 29 after his horrific accident last night while playing for the Notti...
Wednesday, 25 October 2023

Uncanny Ability - A Story of a Person

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Comments on the blog these days are few and far between but Gnome Mange, possibly not his real name, had one on a post that was published mo...
Tuesday, 17 October 2023

Anyone For Tennis?

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One of the biases I identify in my so-called Sacred Manuscript is Recency Bias, defined as: The tendency to overemphasize the importance of...

False Favourites

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International breaks during the league season are rarely welcome, but this one was nicely timed with the Rugby World Cup Quarter-Finals taki...
Sunday, 15 October 2023

Springboks Off a Bye

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The Rugby World Cup moved to a five-team Pool Stage in 2003, meaning that one team would have to be given a bye in each of the five rounds o...
Saturday, 14 October 2023

Byes, Dogs and Rugby Union QFs

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It's not been a bad week so far. Our baseball underdogs continued to shine with 13 wins from 21 games through the Wild Card and Division...
Wednesday, 11 October 2023

Severed Arms, Closed Accounts

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I've mentioned the legend that is Billy Walters a few times in this blog. If you're serious about sports betting, you will have hear...
Tuesday, 10 October 2023

Europe v USA

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Another week behind us, and mixed results as usual. It would be nice for all systems to win all the time, but of course that is unrealistic,...
Friday, 6 October 2023

Baseball, Interrupted

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I haven't written too much about baseball this season, since the significant rule changes implemented this season rendered previous (pr...
Tuesday, 3 October 2023

Buying Time

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Another weekend wrapped up with the NFL Monday Night game a winner for the Totals System, although these only went 1-2 in Week 4.  I thought...
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About Me

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Cassini
I have had a life-long interest in sports and after studying Pure Mathematics with Statistics at secondary school, have been fascinated by odds and probability. The first system I came up with was a simple one - back the favourite and double up after a loss until a winner. Simple enough in theory, and I told my Dad about it. Not being a betting man himself, he ran it by some of his colleagues, and came home to tell me that it wouldn’t work because a long losing run would mean that the bank would be empty. Then there was always the possibility that the winner would be returned at odds-on, meaning that the total returns would not match the outlay. Not what a ten year old wants to hear! Only slightly daunted, I then went on a search for the Holy Grail, the secret to riches that I knew was out there somewhere. Finally in 2004 I stumbled across an article about Betting Exchanges and four years later I was able to make a steady profit.
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