These markets must be the most annoying anywhere on Betfair. I've just been watching the Memphis Tigers / UCLA game and the unders looks a shoo-in with less than three minutes left, and Memphis up by double figures. But no. UCLA keeps fouling, time after time, and for what? The game is lost. Memphis might miss the occasional free-throw, but they're not going to miss anywhere near enough to make the game even close. I can only guess that they do it just to annoy me and cost me money. Actually, the worst thing about losing this kind of a bet is not the money. It's knowing that somewhere out there, someone out-witted me. That is not something that sits well with me! But onward and upward. Another game coming up, and so long as the lesson is learned (stay away from these markets), no real harm I suppose.
Update: A poster on the forum just commented that there were 26 points in the last three minutes - in a game that wasn't even close!
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- Cassini
- I have had a life-long interest in sports and after studying Pure Mathematics with Statistics at secondary school, have been fascinated by odds and probability. The first system I came up with was a simple one - back the favourite and double up after a loss until a winner. Simple enough in theory, and I told my Dad about it. Not being a betting man himself, he ran it by some of his colleagues, and came home to tell me that it wouldn’t work because a long losing run would mean that the bank would be empty. Then there was always the possibility that the winner would be returned at odds-on, meaning that the total returns would not match the outlay. Not what a ten year old wants to hear! Only slightly daunted, I then went on a search for the Holy Grail, the secret to riches that I knew was out there somewhere. Finally in 2004 I stumbled across an article about Betting Exchanges and four years later I was able to make a steady profit.
They shouldnt have fouled down that many, I think they were trying to prove a point Memphis ranks 340th of 341 Division 1 teams in free throw shooting. So I guess they were hoping they`d miss which of course they didnt
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Did Memphis miss ANY in that closing stretch? I don't remember they did, but I may have been outside kicking the kittens... Good luck, and thanks for the comment.
ReplyDeleteI didnt see them miss many if any. That was nasty to watch if you took the under
ReplyDeleteI love betting college sports but things like this remind me that I`m betting on 19 year old kids.
I see the Tigers lost again,0-6 at home.
I thought that if I gave up on the Tigers, they would finally win, but no... They play the Red Sox next - I can see them being 0-9!
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