Five Premier League games today, and will the draws start to appear? For me, the two likeliest games for this are the games at Burnley and Wolves, but it is by no means out of the question at Bolton.
Bolton Wanderers v Tottenham Hotspur: This is a tough game to call, with a good argument being made for any of the three possible outcomes, but a lay of Tottenham (2.0) is the verdict. Bolton have the better form, which has proven to be my most reliable indicator to date, and I'm going with that.
Burnley v Birmingham City: A lay of Burnley at 2.36 is the call here.
Hull City v Wigan Athletic: A win for Wigan here at 2.62. All three of my indicators suggest Wigan will win.
Wolverhampton Wanderers v Portsmouth: A lay of Wolves at 2.14. Portsmouth's recent performances haven't been bad, and I expect them to pick up at least a point but the drift in their price doesn't bode well!
Manchester United v Sunderland: Hard to see anything but a home win here, although at 1.21 it's a little tight on value.
I'm also tipping the unders at Wolves (1.8).
Update:
Lay Tottenham (2.0) @ Bolton W 100
Lay Burnley (2.36) v Birmingham City L -100
Back Wigan (2.62) @ Hull L -100
Lay Wolves (2.14) v Portsmouth W 87.72
Back Under 2.5 Wolves v Portsmouth (1.8) W 80Back Manchester United (1.21) v Sunderland L -100
09-10 Totals - Stake: 1400 Return: 1694.79 P/L: 294.79 (+21.06%)
About Me
- Cassini
- I have had a life-long interest in sports and after studying Pure Mathematics with Statistics at secondary school, have been fascinated by odds and probability. The first system I came up with was a simple one - back the favourite and double up after a loss until a winner. Simple enough in theory, and I told my Dad about it. Not being a betting man himself, he ran it by some of his colleagues, and came home to tell me that it wouldn’t work because a long losing run would mean that the bank would be empty. Then there was always the possibility that the winner would be returned at odds-on, meaning that the total returns would not match the outlay. Not what a ten year old wants to hear! Only slightly daunted, I then went on a search for the Holy Grail, the secret to riches that I knew was out there somewhere. Finally in 2004 I stumbled across an article about Betting Exchanges and four years later I was able to make a steady profit.
surely if u layed 100 on burnley at odds of 2.36 you would lose more than 100?
ReplyDeleteNo, the most I risk on any bet is 100, so I layed 73.53 @ 2.36.
ReplyDelete