Overall, a very pleasing weekend. I have had to widen my spreadsheet to accommodate the rare occurrence of a double-figure goals tally after Spurs 9-1 win over Wigan. Perhaps not surprisingly, this win exceeded the expected win by 2, but of the ten Premier League games this weekend, four finished with the exact expected margin.
Although the two intra-group games did not result in any draws, both went under which brings the total to 19 unders from 26 games to date. Draws are now 9 from 26. Looking ahead to mid-week and next weekend and there are no less than six such games on the schedule:
Fulham v Blackburn Rovers
Arsenal v Chelsea
Aston Villa v Tottenham Hotspur
Fulham v Bolton Wanderers
Wigan Athletic v Sunderland
Wolverhampton Wanderers v Birmingham City
About Me
- Cassini
- I have had a life-long interest in sports and after studying Pure Mathematics with Statistics at secondary school, have been fascinated by odds and probability. The first system I came up with was a simple one - back the favourite and double up after a loss until a winner. Simple enough in theory, and I told my Dad about it. Not being a betting man himself, he ran it by some of his colleagues, and came home to tell me that it wouldn’t work because a long losing run would mean that the bank would be empty. Then there was always the possibility that the winner would be returned at odds-on, meaning that the total returns would not match the outlay. Not what a ten year old wants to hear! Only slightly daunted, I then went on a search for the Holy Grail, the secret to riches that I knew was out there somewhere. Finally in 2004 I stumbled across an article about Betting Exchanges and four years later I was able to make a steady profit.
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