Zeroing In On Value

There are a few comments to catch up on, the first being from Geoff at Full-Time Betting who wrote:

Talking of German football- Cassini, a question if I may? I've trawled through your posts but can't seem to find your posts on laying Bundesliga games (specifically favourites).I'm sure it was on here somewhere but may be confusing it with something else. Can you point me in the right direction. Thanks in advance.

There are actually a few references to this phenomena, but it appears I first revealed it in this post from last September. If you search for Bundesliga, you'll find several posts on the subject.

I did feel slightly bad that 500 to 50s week was off to a disappointing start due to my being mean and unfriendly. He writes:

I'm starting today off with a bit of a disappointment. It seems that not all of our fellow bloggers are as friendly to us newbies as first seems.

I was disappointed to read that the blog 'Green All Over' slated me for making the mistake I made the other day. I posted it on here. I confess, that I was unaware that it was day 1 of the season of that particular league. Had I known that information I wouldn't have placed the trade. It was an elementary mistake, and one that I won't be repeating. If I want this to work on a longer term basis.

As the poster mentioned: 'I really don't think basing decisions on the alphabet is a viable strategy'. I'm inclined to agree. Thanks for pointing it out. It's a mistake I won't be making again. I m just a bit disappointed that he decided to post a sarcastic comment or two about it on his blog.

I guess 'Green All Over' is clearly having better success than me, at least, with comments like the above you would certainly hope so.

I do try to be nice to everybody, usually, but I have been known to be just a teeny-weeny bit sarcastic at times. It was just that the whole idea of researching a league table full of zeroes and basing a betting decision on alphabetical order, was just too wonderful a story to pass up. Yes, we all make mistakes, even me on occasion, but I doubt that many of us have found perceived value in team names before.

Anyway, enough on that subject. With the new season fast approaching, I have been studying the Premier League opening day fixtures along with the current league table (pictured), and find value in Blackburn Rovers (currently 3rd place on goal difference, and unbeaten) v Wolverhampton Wanderers (20th and without a point). Blackburn haven't conceded a goal at home all season, while Wolves have yet to hit the target away from home. At around 2.04, Blackburn look excellent value.