Green All Over

Established in 2008, this blog is an independent, common sense, look at challenges and opportunities in sports and financial investing, with occasional diversions as my mood takes me. I am not a tipster, nor is this a Profit and Loss report either. They are boring.

Thursday, 31 December 2009

Another Year Over - 2009

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The stock market is now closed for 2009, and it has been a very good year. The FTSE250 is up by 46.31%, the FTSE100 is up by 22.07% and the...
1 comment:
Wednesday, 30 December 2009

My Life Is Soapless

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I am a little behind with all my Elo ratings after the Xmas break. As much as I love my parents, it is incredibly frustrating to be without...
1 comment:

Significant Events

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A poster on the Betfair forum writing about the challenge of making money from football betting, wrote this great line: I read posts on h...
1 comment:
Wednesday, 16 December 2009

Knocking Off

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This may be my last post for a few days, unless my parents have moved into the digital age which, given that they are yet to fully master ...
1 comment:

Tuesday 15.Dec Summary

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Some good results today, with three of the nine games finishing exactly as forecast, and the winner correct in three more. Football Elite ...
Tuesday, 15 December 2009

Jamie Carragher Believes In Santa

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I'm aware that footballers are not generally considered to be the most intelligent group of people on the planet, but does it not occur...
1 comment:

Elo Footy Picks 15.Dec

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Today's predictions: Birmingham City v Blackburn Rovers; Birmingham by 1 Bolton Wanderers v West Ham United; Draw Manchester United ...
Monday, 14 December 2009

All In The Mind

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If you follow JP's blog listed on the right, you will know that he has pretty much ended the year with a net profit of somewhere around...
Sunday, 13 December 2009

Rough With The Smooth

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When I look back on my spreadsheet in years to come, the total for yesterday, a profit of £3.55, will be quite unremarkable. Hidden behind ...
1 comment:
Saturday, 12 December 2009

Winter Draws On

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I suppose it had to happen. The one week where my calculations fail to select a single EPL game to finish as a draw, and no less than six of...

EPL Weekend Picks 12/13 Dec

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Expectations for this weekend in the Premier League are: Stoke City v Wigan Athletic: Stoke by 1 Birmingham City v West Ham United: Birmi...
Friday, 11 December 2009

Vanishing Leads

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As I have written before, in basketball a seemingly insurmountable lead can soon vanish. In the just ending Utah Jazz v Orlando Magic game,...
Sunday, 6 December 2009

Weekend Football Round-Up

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A nice weekend on the football again, with no less than 4 of the 10 Premier League games finishing exactly as expected. Manchester United wo...
1 comment:
Friday, 4 December 2009

Weekend Selections 5/6 Dec

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Expectations for this weekend in the Premier League are: Portsmouth v Burnley: Burnley by 1 Arsenal v Stoke City: Arsenal by 3 Aston Vil...

Sharpe Minds If England Win

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Does anyone really believe Graham Sharpe of William Hill when he says about England and the World Cup: "We want them to reach the fin...
Thursday, 3 December 2009

November Rain

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After a poor start to last month, results did improve towards the end, but November still finished below the average for November, and as ...
1 comment:

Total Charges 20.01%

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A fine day today. No Premium Charge, despite a profitable week. A few arbs, and by the narrowest of margins, I have escaped its clutches, ...
Tuesday, 1 December 2009

It's Not Fair!

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From today's Daily Telegraph, and poor old Ed Wray is upset about taxes. A pity that Betfair don't feel the same way about the Premi...
10 comments:
Monday, 23 November 2009

Over / Under 53

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From an article on SmartMoney.com comes this worrying piece: It may be depressing to think about, but a soon-to-be published paper on mo...
3 comments:
Sunday, 22 November 2009

Spurs Widen The Spreadsheet

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Overall, a very pleasing weekend. I have had to widen my spreadsheet to accommodate the rare occurrence of a double-figure goals tally after...
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About Me

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Cassini
I have had a life-long interest in sports and after studying Pure Mathematics with Statistics at secondary school, have been fascinated by odds and probability. The first system I came up with was a simple one - back the favourite and double up after a loss until a winner. Simple enough in theory, and I told my Dad about it. Not being a betting man himself, he ran it by some of his colleagues, and came home to tell me that it wouldn’t work because a long losing run would mean that the bank would be empty. Then there was always the possibility that the winner would be returned at odds-on, meaning that the total returns would not match the outlay. Not what a ten year old wants to hear! Only slightly daunted, I then went on a search for the Holy Grail, the secret to riches that I knew was out there somewhere. Finally in 2004 I stumbled across an article about Betting Exchanges and four years later I was able to make a steady profit.
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