Green All Over

Established in 2008, this blog is an independent, common sense, look at challenges and opportunities in sports and financial investing, with occasional diversions as my mood takes me. I am not a tipster, nor is this a Profit and Loss report either. They are boring.

Friday, 12 November 2010

Derby della Madonnina

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Another weekend coming up, and a full slate of quality football. Looking at the strong draws, and there are only four so it won't take ...
6 comments:

Behind The Numbers

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Joep again, who asks: Why do you use your own handicaps in your Elo system while judging by this blog you mostly use the 1X2 market to be...
1 comment:
Thursday, 11 November 2010

Different Night, Same Story

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An example of how no lead is safe in the NBA came in last night's game between the highly rated Orlando Magic and the not-so-highly-rat...
1 comment:
Wednesday, 10 November 2010

Turning A Prophet

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An example of how no lead is safe in the NBA came in last night's game between the highly rated Miami Heat and the not-so-highly-rated,...
1 comment:
Tuesday, 9 November 2010

Managing Expectations

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Joep asked: How did Barca regain the lead in your ELO ratings last weekend when Real beat a much stronger team, albeit at home? Real matc...
2 comments:
Monday, 8 November 2010

BBC - Stoppage Time Not Included

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For the second week in a row, Sunday's football proved disappointing. Real Zaragoza v Mallorca looked to be heading to a draw, and was ...
1 comment:
Sunday, 7 November 2010

NBA Trading

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A couple of days ago, John wrote I watched my first NBA game last night (Bulls v Celtics on ESPN). Seems like it may be a sport I could t...
2 comments:

Bolton v Tottenham

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Sports Trading Life had an interesting, if not totally accurate, comment on the Bolton Wanderers v Tottenham Hotspur match yesterday, in re...
2 comments:

Fragility

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Overall, Saturday was a good day, with Football Elite the star of the day. The three Recommended Bets were all winners to nil, Sunderland (...
3 comments:
Saturday, 6 November 2010

Fireworks In Phoenix

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The NBA continues to stand for Negative Balance Adjustments with a third losing night, although losses were trimmed significantly on the ju...
2 comments:
Friday, 5 November 2010

Remember Remember

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Still very busy with work, and it's only today that I've been able to find time to catch up the ratings. I've not looked at the...
5 comments:
Wednesday, 3 November 2010

Moving Into Movember

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After a busy weekend with work, including back-to-back all-nighters that I am far too old for, which was followed by two days of training, ...
2 comments:
Saturday, 30 October 2010

Get Inter The Groove

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Always nice to start the weekend off with a winner, and Internazionale were expected to win by 0.7 at Genoa. At 2.22 this was a value bet. ...
1 comment:
Friday, 29 October 2010

Bats Heat Up

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The ratings predict two strong draws, two weak draws, and six bankers in the EPL this weekend. The strong draws are Bolton Wanderers v Live...
1 comment:
Thursday, 28 October 2010

Value Betting For Dummies

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Anonymous from Romford, or perhaps it's George from Romford who just happens to share the same IP address as Anonymous, was asking abou...

Number Of The Beast

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The football over the last evenings was of little interest to me, but the start on the new NBA season was. I layed a nice sum at 1.01 in th...
1 comment:
Tuesday, 26 October 2010

Personal Touch

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Geoff at full-time betting asked Hi- fascinating reading as always- what are you basing the "strong draws" research on? is it ...
3 comments:
Monday, 25 October 2010

Over Staking

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I mentioned a few posts ago that there are some odd things that happen when trading in-play on BETDAQ. A week ago, I wrote: Aside from ...
1 comment:
Sunday, 24 October 2010

Strength In Numbers

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The draws keep coming. The three strong draws predicted here for today were Parma v AS Roma, Bologna v Juventus and Udinese v Palermo. It s...
2 comments:
Saturday, 23 October 2010

Einstein

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As tipped up here earlier, Freiburg won at 2.32 and Hannover 96 at 2.16 for a nice profit, although 'long-shot' Eintracht Frankfurt...
1 comment:
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About Me

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Cassini
I have had a life-long interest in sports and after studying Pure Mathematics with Statistics at secondary school, have been fascinated by odds and probability. The first system I came up with was a simple one - back the favourite and double up after a loss until a winner. Simple enough in theory, and I told my Dad about it. Not being a betting man himself, he ran it by some of his colleagues, and came home to tell me that it wouldn’t work because a long losing run would mean that the bank would be empty. Then there was always the possibility that the winner would be returned at odds-on, meaning that the total returns would not match the outlay. Not what a ten year old wants to hear! Only slightly daunted, I then went on a search for the Holy Grail, the secret to riches that I knew was out there somewhere. Finally in 2004 I stumbled across an article about Betting Exchanges and four years later I was able to make a steady profit.
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