Saturday, 28 September 2019

Week 4 Inefficiencies

There are seven NFL teams who have lost their opening three games of the season, and in Week 4 since 2002, such teams have a 33-20-2 winning record (62.3%) ATS when playing teams with at least one loss and one win. 

In Divisional games, their record is even stronger at 15-7-1 (68.2%), and the Washington Redskins (+3.0) at the New York Giants tomorrow are such a qualifier. They are also a qualifier for the Small Road 'Dogs system.

The New York Jets are on a Bye week, the Pittsburgh Steelers and Cincinnati Bengals play each other, and the other three worth considering - if you agree that the public underestimate 0-3 teams - are the Denver Broncos, Arizona Cardinals and Miami Dolphins.

In College Football, the Small Road 'Dogs are already 2-0 up on the weekend after Duke and Arizona State both won straight up on Friday night. Another five likely selections from today's matches hoping to improve the current 15-9-2 record.

Another huge favourite in the MLB today with the Houston Astros yet again (for the 11th time, Justin Verlander for the 6th time) starting at sub -400. The Astros are the only club to start this short on the road since at least 2004, and do so for the third time this season. The Astros lead the Los Angeles Dodgers by one game (and hold the tiebreaker) in the race for home field advantage in the World Series should both teams advance that far for a repeat of the 2017 finale.


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