Mike Tyson v Jake Paul

The Trump rally in the financial markets cooled off a little this week, although Bitcoin is still hovering around its all-time high. I've started to monitor Dogecoin since Trump's new right-hand man Elon Musk has long been a supporter, and this has more than doubled since the US election to around $0.37. This is still well shy of it's May 2021 all-time high of $0.73.

Tesla remains up 27.6% since the election, but Pfeizer (down 10%) isn't looking so good with the nomination of RFK Jr for Health Secretary this week not ideal.

I'll be watching the Jake Paul v Mike Tyson fight tonight, and have backed the former to win at 1.68. One subscriber asked my opinion, and as much as I would like Mike Tyson to win, I can't see him overcoming his age, but also that he's not boxed in 20 years and quit his last fight. 

Here's what my thoughts were yesterday, for what they are worth, which is probably not a whole lot to be honest:

I did initially think that Tyson is probably where the value would be, and for the same reason as you, that Paul's followers will be backing him in large numbers, but I do have some reservations, specifically:

Age. At 58 and not having boxed (other than an exhibition) for almost 20 years, he's not as fit as Jake Paul ( age 27) will be.

Motivation: Tyson quit in his last fight , saying afterwards "I do not have the guts to be in this sport anymore. I don't want to disrespect the sport that I love. My heart is not into this anymore. I'm sorry for the fans who paid for this. I wish I could have done better." - that's a concern.

Health: The fight was postponed from its original date due to a "health scare" (ulcer issue) for Tyson on a flight. That doesn't sound great.

Finally, his open workout this week raised questions about how ready he is for this fight. I'm not an expert, but the opinion among experts was that Tyson didn't look good: “This guy should not be in there. Mike couldn’t gauge the distance with his trainer on the mitts; he was coming too close; the punches were missing the mitt; they were not hitting accurately enough, and his feet weren’t there either.”

That doesn't sound good. On the plus side for Tyson, he's a natural boxer, and the rules seem to have been set to help him - 14 ounce gloves and two minute rounds.

Overall I have to say I think Paul will win. A 31 year age difference is a lot, and it's not as if Tyson is in the best of health for a 58 year old.

But of course, one punch and all these doubts are irrelevant.

I think many of us who are of a certain age will be hoping that Tyson can find that one punch and put Jake Paul in his place. It's interesting that the 1.68 price from yesterday has now shortened to 1.55 / 1.56 in just a few hours, but in a gimmicky contest like this, whatever happens, it will be obvious in hindsight.