Odd Odds

At the risk of sounding like a broken record, Killer Sports is not perfect. In the past, I've written that the line they record for a game is not necessarily the closing price, but:

"a representation of the line at which most people bet the game."

On the Killer Sports site today, this approach now seems to have changed to this:

The lines in our sports databases are currently a consensus of closing lines from several of the leading national sportsbooks. While that should provide a baseline for finding profitable situations, shopping around for the best available lines will only increase that profitability.

There were a couple of games yesterday in the NHL which highlight one of the challenges with Killer Sports.  

One of the Sacred Manuscript's NHL Systems had the Detroit Red Wings as a selection.

Running the query now shows them as -110 (1.91) in their game at the Chicago Blackhawks, but depending on where you went to bet them, you would have found some inconsistency.

At the time I ran the query, the Red Wings were -122 (1.82) and I did back them at 2.0 on Betfair where they were not the Favourite. 

Subscriber Stu decided to skip the game, and of course, as always happens in situations like this, the bet was a winner.

Some sportsbooks had the Red Wings as favourites, some as joint favourites and others as underdogs:

Coincidentally, we have the identical situation with a 'selection' again today. 

While it's a little confusing, showing both joint favorites as a favourite is reasonable, but in a second game yesterday - Washington Capitals v Nashville predators, both teams show up as favourite even though one was -108 and the other -112. Being priced at odds-on isn't the same as being the favourite! 

No system had an interest in this game so it was a curiosity rather than a problem, but it's something to be aware of if you are using Killer Sports to source your investment decisions.

Here are the 'official' results for the NHL systems so far this season, but with a little line shopping, these results should be the easily beatable: