Tuesday, 23 April 2019

103%, NHL and NBA Playoffs

Another couple of Draws in the last two nights, including one (Chelsea v Burnley) rather unlikely one priced at 6.46, the second highest priced draw of the season. 

It was the 46th time this season that the (Pinnacle Closing Odds) overround has exceeded 103%, which doesn't compare favourably with just 8 matches in the whole of last season, and none whatsoever in the three seasons 2014-17.

After last night's result, it's now actually a profitable strategy to back the Draw when the overround is above 103%, but I wouldn't recommend it. This season overall is tough enough for Draw backers as it is:

but since 2000-01, it's consistently a poor proposition:
The Stanley Cup playoffs are now in full flow, and after a slow start, the COAL system I follow is finally in profit after three wins in the last four games:
As is almost always the case, the 'official' price for tonight can be improved, with 2.32 currently available on Betfair and to add to the excitement, it's a Game 7. 

In the NBA playoffs, after a promising start, recent results haven't gone in our favour:
No selections today. 


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