Sunday, 7 January 2018

Wild Card Edges

Halfway through the NFL Wild Card weekend, and if you took my advice last week and backed the road (away) teams, you are in good shape. 

The Tennessee Titans were getting 8 points but didn't need any of them as they beat the Kansas City Chiefs 22:21, the first time under the current play-off format (since 2002) that a Wild Card team getting more than 7 points won straight up.

In the second Saturday game, the Atlanta Falcons getting 5.5 points beat the Los Angeles Rams 26:13.

Today's road teams are the Buffalo Bills (+8.5) at the Jacksonville Jaguars and Carolina Panthers (+6.5) at the New Orleans Saints. 

Big road 'dogs have a poor record in this round, so beware the Bills, but if you have to bet on this game, the Unders is where the value lies. In the 19 games where the home favourite was giving 6 points or more, the Unders has come in 13 times with one Push.

Not much proper football action this weekend. Along with most of the country, I have little interest in the FA Cup this weekend until the Mother of all Derbies on Monday night, correctly selected by BT Sport as the tie of the round.

I'm actually old enough to have seen the birth of this rivalry, with my first experience back in August 1974 before things had escalated to where they are today, with the M23 derby now ranked up there with some of the best rivalries in the world. 

El Clasico, Superclasico, Old Firm, M23...

Finally the NBA Beast System continues to be profitable. Backing the Overs when the total is over 215.5 in now 94-71-5 
The over 218.5 subset with  more manageable number of sections is doing even better with the below record: 

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