Sunday, 22 June 2025

Thunder Rolls

I've been a little distracted after all the excitement of May. My father-in-law is struggling with his health right now, after a knee replacement surgery that has not gone well. It needs to be re-done but first an an ongoing unidentified bacterial infection needs to resolved. 


My wife and I are now in California providing moral support, although the latter falls mostly on her.  I do have a 50th school reunion to attend in July so I will be leaving her for a while next week while I climb up Helvellyn - weather permitting - for the first time since 1973 before meeting up with at least one of the two friends I did that climb with. 

With my enthusiasm through the roof after the club's first major trophy, I've also been spending literally dozens of hours updating my Crystal Palace spreadsheet which has grown somewhat from my original goal. 

It now includes every single team lineup for the professional club dating back to the 1905-06 Southern League Second Division and through to the end of last season, which is exactly 5,201 matches and 61,953 player entries, not to mention the 7,252 goal scorers, and I've added two new categories to accommodate the Community Shield and Europa League games.

It's all very exciting and I am putting my retirement to good use, but once again, sports investing has remained a secondary activity, and I still need to update the 'official' results for the 2024-25 football systems.

In the NBA Finals, it's a Game 7 tonight - Oklahoma City Thunder versus Indiana Pacers.

Neither team has ever won the NBA Finals, although the franchise now in Oklahoma City did win one as the Seattle SuperSonics back in 1979.

The last Finals Game 7 was in 2016, and this was a rare win for the Road (Away) team which has won just 4 of 19 and just once in the seven games since since 1978.

Game 7s in the Final are a lot rarer now than they used to be. 

In the 1950s there were five. In the 1960s there were four.  In the 1970s three, the 1980s two, and just one each in the 1990s and the noughties. 

Looking at 'recent' spreads (i.e. those this century), in the most recent Game 7 (2016) the Cleveland Cavaliers were 5-point underdogs against the Golden State Warriors, and they won the game by four points.

In the 2013 Finals, the Miami Heat were 6-point favorites against the San Antonio Spurs and covered winning by seven points.

In 2010 the Los Angeles Lakers were 7-point favorites against the Boston Celtics  and won by four, while in 2005 Finals the Spurs won by seven as 5.5-point favorites against the Detroit Pistons. 

The spread is currently 7 and with the Thunder seemingly taking it very easy in Game 6 - they lost by 17 after being down by 31 at one point - I'm expecting them to repeat their Game 7 performance of the Conference Semifinals this year when they easily defeated (by 32 points) the Denver Nuggets in another home Game 7. 

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