Tuesday, 3 July 2012

Summer Lull

Not a good finish to Euro 2012, with neither the wallet or the soul being enriched by Spain's triumph in the Final. Bets on the HT 0-0, Under 2.5 goals, and Italy to prevail all went south, and an overall loss on the tournament, but with little in the way of statistics, stakes are for fun only, so no real damage done. I'm not sure 'fun' is the right word to describe such bets though, since losing is never fun.

June Gloom
So no more football betting until the new season, and some quiet time to update the spreadsheet with the promoted teams and add some new columns to track the profitability of some other markets.

An excellent article on England and penalties is linked to here, explaining that while England's dreadful penalty shoot out record may not yet be statistically significant, another loss in the next shoot out, and most statisticians would agree that significant it is.

The baseball system has gone very quiet of late, with days passing and very few selections. Just 25 selections in June, The last four have all lost by one run, so winners on the +1.5 market, but losses on the Match Odds and the -1.5 market, the latter being the most valuable of course.

I'm not a big tennis trader, but I did profit from the trials and tribulations of Nadal and Federer at the end of last week.

July will be very quiet, both blogging and betting. My son graduates this month, and I'm spending some quality time with him prior to that milestone in his life.

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