A good start to the weekend with both Accrington Stanley (1.8) and Luton Town (2.13) winning on the Asian Handicaps, a market I have not really looked at much until this season, but which is proving a successful outlet for the ratings.
I'm also finding that in the lower leagues, although liquidity might not be there, as BlueOrange " says, as long as you put up what you think is a fair price and it gets taken up then that's all that matters".
On the Blue Square Premier league he continues "The bets I've placed are found by using my system and picking odds that are not too low and look value. Barrow £30@2.02, Eastbourne £40@1.75. Kidderminster £20@2.52 and York £60@1.57." I checked my ratings and concur that Barrow are favoured by one, and are value.
Laying the favourite in the Bundesliga paid dividends again on Friday with Eintracht Frankfurt losing 0-1 at home at a price of 1.81. More qualifiers Saturday in Stuttgart (1.88), Werder Bremen (1.52) and Wolfsburg (1.6).
There is one Premier League game that is predicted to be a draw, the game at West Bromwich Albion v Birmingham City. I have lays on Stoke City (1.99), Aston Villa (1.87), Everton (1.67), Tottenham Hotspur (1.48), Arsenal (1.71), Manchester United (1.73) and Manchester City (1.8).
The Chelsea v Blackpool game was covered in my previous post, which leaves just Blackburn Rovers v Fulham. Blackburn (2.1) are favoured by 1, in part because of Blackburn's strong home record, and Fulham's poor away record.
Ligue One is unusual this weekend, with just one odds-on home favourite - Lille (1.88). I've also layed the one away odds-on favourite, current champions Marseilles (1.69), away to newly promoted, and currently pointless, local 'rivals' Arles-Avignon, who had a strong home record last season but have lost both their first two home games by 0-1.
Saturday, 18 September 2010
Sur Le Pont
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2 comments:
The Villa game is a perfect example of why you can't expect to win purely off ratings.
Davies may miss out. Cahill and Jaaskaleinen are definitely out. These 3 are undoubtedly their 3 most important players.
It takes little time to research this information. Although it would take an impossibly long time to research it for all the leagues you try and cover.
Regardless of the outcome, 1.87 was an horrific price to lay. And some of the team information has certainly been available for some time.
The Villa game is a perfect example of why you can't expect to win purely off ratings.
Davies may miss out. Cahill and Jaaskaleinen are definitely out. These 3 are undoubtedly their 3 most important players.
It takes little time to research this information. Although it would take an impossibly long time to research it for all the leagues you try and cover.
Regardless of the outcome, 1.87 was an horrific price to lay. And some of the team information has certainly been available for some time.
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