Saturday, 11 February 2012

Kitchen Up

Not a single draw in the EPL today, and only one Under, which just happened to be the Everton v Chelsea XX Draw selection, so a small return there on a challenging day for many. The second XX Draw selection was Udinese v AC Milan where we had a winner until 85' when the visitors made it 2-1. There were two 'near' XX Draw Selections, Sunderland v Arsenal, which lost to a 91', and the much better Racing Santander v Atletico Madrid game that finished a perfect 0-0. Peter Nordsted's Drawmaster came up empty, (the games at Everton, Sunderland and Swansea City) as did Griff's single selection of Tottenham Hotspur v Newcastle United, a game that looked to me to be a value under pick at 2.3, but two goals in the first six minutes soon scuppered that. The Green Pullover also had the Sunderland game, but found a winner in the Championship as Blackpool drew with Portsmouth. Football Elite went for wins for Everton and Sunderland, with Draw No Bet, and split them for a small profit. No joy for backing the Lay The Draw picks either, as Lyon v Caen finished 1-2 and Galatasaray v Kayserispor 1-0. Their place atop the Tipster Table is in jeopardy. Mark J had an easy winner in Stuttgart, who won 5-0 over Hertha Berlin. No selections from Geoff this week.

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1 comment:

George said...

I suggest you add a passive benchmark strategy to your league table. Something along the lines of: back draw in every match (in the leagues, which you scan for selections). Logic: A fund manager might be profitable because of his stock selection or because the broad market is going up (or both). Alpha or beta etc. It is always illuminating to separate the passive benchmark effect from the active match selection effect. IMO, the real tipster value added is the selection effect i.e. ROI(yourstrategy)-ROI(sensiblebenchmark) is what one should be looking at.