Tuesday, 30 June 2020

Bundesliga 2019-20 Notes

With the 2019-20 Bundesliga and Bundesliga.2 regular seasons finally complete, it's time to update the Booming Bundeslayga post from earlier this month. 

At the time there was much excitement about markets not adjusting to empty stadiums, which seemed a little improbable and far too soon in the 'experiment' to be drawing any conclusions but it seems worth while to separate the data for the season by the crowd category.

Some clubs seem to have been affected more than others either by the break or by the lack of a crowd. Since my trip to Gelsenkirchen in 2006 for the World Cup, I have adopted Schalke '04 as my German club, and playing in an empty stadium certainly doesn't appear to agree with them as they had a terrible record after the suspension. It's a good job I don't bet with my heart.

Here are the results for the Bundeslayga System:
With only 90 selections, the sample size is too small to draw any conclusions from. Results from the 47 top flight games where you might consider the lack of a crowd to have a bigger impact (logically going from a crowd of 60,000 to none is a bigger change than from 1,000 to none) do seem to reflect this theory so far, but as the other major leagues conclude, I'll take a look at them all together.

Again, while emphasising that the sample size is small, it is interesting to see Away goals exceeding Home goals by 137 to 117 in Bundesliga.1 although in Bundesliga.2 Home sides outscored Away by the more expected 136 - 106. Overall the goals per game figure declined from 3.23 per game to 3.1 per game after the break.

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