Tuesday 29 June 2021

Euro Draws, Canada Hopes, And Suns Shine

Rather a thrilling day in the Euros 2020 tournament with two more winners for Draw backers, although not many would have expected the 3:3 result in both matches. 

At 3:1 to France in the second match, I tweeted this:

Quite remarkable, especially given that no previous Euro - or World Cup for that matter - knockout game has ever finished 3:3 after 90 minutes! The Copa America last had a 3:3 in 1999 (Mexico v Peru). 

Draw backers currently have a healthy profit of 5.69 units from the six matches played with another nine matches to come.

It's Game One of the Stanley Cup Finals tonight, with Canada having another shot at ending its 27 year drought since the last win for a team from that country coming in 1993. 

The winners that year were the Montreal Canadiens beating Wayne Gretzky's Los Angeles Kings and the Canadiens are back this year, underdogs against the reigning champions Tampa Bay Lightning.

Five Canadian teams have reached the Finals since 1993, but all have lost; Vancouver Canucks (twice), Calgary Flames, Edmonton Oilers and Ottawa Senators. 

The regular season NHL system this season was very successful, +51.5 units with an ROI of 14.9%, but wasn't so successful in the playoffs losing 6.23 units for an overall ROI on the season of 12%, which is not too shabby at all. 

Going back to 2006, the system is profitable in playoffs (ROI 10.2%), but in any one season with a small number of matches, we are at the mercy of variance. 

The NBA season is close to determining its final series also, with the Phoenix Suns looking to clinch their place in the final tonight when they face the Los Angeles Clippers at home and with a 3:1 lead. Whoever advances from the West will play either the Milwaukee Bucks or the Atlanta Hawks.

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